Iran Update, November 10, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

Diplomacy & International Relations
Syria-US Relations: Syrian President Ahmed al Shara met with US President Donald Trump at the White House on November 10. Shara’s visit marked the first visit of any Syrian president to the White House. US...

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Iran Update, November 10, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

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Syria-US Relations: Syrian President Ahmed al Shara met with US President Donald Trump at the White House on November 10. Shara’s visit marked the...
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 10, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

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The situation in the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad area remains difficult as Ukrainian forces fight to hold the shoulders of the pocket and Russian forces continue to...
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UN News (10 November 2025)

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(Migrants and Refugees - Sudan) The UN aid coordination office (OCHA) on Monday warned of a deepening crisis in Sudan’s North Darfur as violence...
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Geostrategic magazine (11 November 2025)

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From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye. Today’s about: COP30; Ethiopia-Eritrea; EU; Eurasian Economic...
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Strategy and Culture: India’s Continued Relevance in a Complex Multipolar World (Lt Gen (Dr) S.K. Gadeock – Observer Research Foundation)

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India’s strategic culture has evolved through millennia of civilisational continuity, philosophical introspection, and pragmatic statecraft. Rooted in traditions of intellectual enquiry and adaptability, it...
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Ports and Geopolitics: The Case of Sino-Indian Rivalry in the Bay of Bengal (Sohini Bose – Observer Research Foundation)

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The Bay of Bengal has emerged as a key arena for Sino-Indian competition due to its proximity to vital sea lanes, rich resource potential,...
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China’s Infrastructure Buildup Near India’s Northern Borders: The Eight-Year Surge Since Doklam (Rajiv Lathar – Observer Research Foundation)

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In the past seven decades, China has been actively building civilian, military, and dual-use infrastructure in Xinjiang and Tibet—which it calls, respectively, the Xinjiang...
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The Quad’s Calibrated Maritime Security Agenda (Sayantan Haldar – Observer Research Foundation)

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The Quad has been repeatedly criticised for supposedly lacking a maritime security agenda. These views, however, stem from a narrow interpretation of ‘maritime security’—one...
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A new model for forest finance or just more debt? (Jawad Khalid – Lowy The Interpreter)

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The launch of the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF) has been hailed as a landmark in global climate finance – a new model to...
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Pacific Islands: Without literacy, climate resilience is nigh on impossible (Serena Sasingian – Lowy The Interpreter)

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Bill Gates’ recent essay “Three tough truths about climate” carried a warning worth heeding in the Pacific: don’t let the urgency of climate change...
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Not every critical mineral is equal – and Australia’s policy should reflect this (Eli Hayes, Darren Lim – Lowy The Interpreter)

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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese boasted twin benefits from the critical minerals deal signed with the United States last month. On the security side, Albanese...
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The COP30 and COP31 summits must be a display of southern hemisphere stewardship (Izabela Pereira Watts – Lowy The Interpreter)

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Climate talks in Brazil have begun with the high-level COP30 general plenary and the attendance of more than 40 world leaders. The United Nations...
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The digital battlefield around Australia’s South China Sea patrols (Fitriani and Astrid Young – ASPI The Strategist)

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When an Australian patrol aircraft met a Chinese jet over the South China Sea last month, the encounter quickly moved beyond airspace to digital...
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How to achieve real national resilience with industry policy (John Coyne – ASPI The Strategist)

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Australia stands at a crossroads where ambition, fiscal restraint and strategic necessity intersect. The Future Made in Australia agenda, once a rallying cry for...
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China’s reactive diplomacy shows maintenance beats momentum (Juan Fernando Herrera Ramos – ASPI The Strategist)

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China’s sudden scramble to court Honduras before the country’s 30 November election shows how quickly China reacts when its influence is under threat. China’s...
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Through cooperation, Australia and South Korea can lead in the age of autonomy (Jihoon Yu – ASPI The Strategies)

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The Indo-Pacific is entering an age of autonomy. Uncrewed systems are transforming how nations project power, manage crises and sustain deterrence. For middle powers...
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ASIO’s step-up in warning frequency means we are less secure (James Corera, Justin Bassi and Chris Taylor – ASPI The Strategist)

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The frequency with which Australia’s director-general of security now addresses the public should give us pause. Before Director-General Mike Burgess, leaders of the Australian...
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India–Australia engagement on critical minerals is evolving and expanding (Alice Wai – ASPI The Strategist)

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Recent bilateral and multilateral initiatives show a clear acceleration in India–Australia critical minerals engagement. This growth has been characterised by government memorandums of understanding,...
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 9, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

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Russian and Ukrainian forces continue interdiction campaigns in the Pokrovsk direction as the rate of Russian advances in and around Pokrovsk remains temporarily decreased. Russian...
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STATEMENT: Brazil Announces Pledge to Quadruple ‘Sustainable Fuels’ (World Resources Institute)

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At the COP30 Leaders’ Summit, Brazil announced the Belém 4X Pledge on Sustainable Fuels, a commitment to quadruple production and use of ‘sustainable fuels’...
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STATEMENT: COP30 Leaders’ Summit Concludes with Major Pledges for Climate, Nature and People (World Resources Institute)

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The COP30 Leaders’ Summit concluded today with major announcements and pledges from world leaders, as well as political calls to action ahead of the...
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Advancing Local Climate Action for Ambitious NDCs 3.0 (Abiyot Dagne, Carolina Useche, Chaandi Malhotra, Héctor Miguel Donado, Ivy Murgor, Marc Manyifika, Max Jamieson, Nadia...

Climate Action admin - 0
Nations around the world are ushering in a new decade of climate action through revised nationally determined contributions (NDCs), due this year. The urgency...
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For New Global Forest Pledges to Succeed, They Must Center Forest Communities (Celine Salcedo-La Viña, Minnie Degawan, Kevin Currey and Edward Davey – World...

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Forests are among our most powerful allies in the fight against climate change. As the world races to halt and reverse deforestation globally by...
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5 Ways COP30 Can Make Progress Where Countries’ Climate Plans Fall Short (David Waskow, Jamal Srouji, Kiyomi de Zoysa, Cynthia Elliott, Nathan Cogswell, Deirdre...

Climate Action admin - 0
Amid record heat and worsening climate impacts on people’s lives, 2025 is a turning point for global climate action, as countries renew their climate...
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World’s Informal Housing Crisis Demands a Climate Response (Wanjira Mathai – World Resources Institute)

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When floods hit my hometown in Kenya last year, it was the poorest communities who suffered most. In Nairobi, where more than 3 million...
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Financing Nature Conservation: Will the Tropical Forest Forever Facility Finally Do It? (Charles (Chip) Barber, Edward Davey, Viviana Zalles and Mariana Oliveira – World...

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At the 1992 Rio Earth Summit in Brazil, the nations of the world agreed as part of the Forest Principles to provide financial resources...
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Russia Strengthens ASEAN Nuclear Ties (Anna J. Davos – The Jamestown Foundation)

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Russia’s state-owned nuclear corporation, Rosatom, and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) have taken the most tangible step thus far in nuclear energy...
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Forecasting the PRC’s Next Global Initiative (Kyle Marcrum – The Jamestown Foundation)

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Xi Jinping could unveil a “global environmental initiative” as soon as mid-November 2025, at the COP30 summit in Brazil. This would align with previous...
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PRC Narrates Cyber Victimhood (Jonah Reisboard – The Jamestown Foundation)

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The People’s Republic of China (PRC) has responded to an alleged U.S. cyberattack on its National Time Service Center (NTSC) by constructing a narrative...
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MSS Sensationalizes National Security Awareness (Martin Purbrick – The Jamestown Foundation)

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Online messaging campaigns from the Ministry of State Security (MSS) seek to educate citizens about national security threats and to instill a suspicion of...
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Identity Crisis in the Making of Sahel Militants (Chris Mensah-Ankrah – The Jamestown Foundation)

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Militant groups in the Sahel exploit widespread youth isolation and social breakdown—offering young men belonging, purpose, and brotherhood that mimic and replace weakened family...
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Pakistan’s Operation Sarbakaf Against TTP Angers Locals (Syed Fazl-e-Haider – The Jamestown Foundation)

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Operation Sarbakaf, Pakistan’s latest offensive against Afghanistan-based Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants in Bajaur, has triggered significant local opposition and displacement, undermining its effectiveness. Provincial...
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TTP Projecting Power Outside Pakistan’s Northwest (Abdul Sayed – The Jamestown Foundation)

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The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has reactivated its networks in Punjab and Karachi, reviving the so-called “Punjabi Taliban” as part of its post-2021 resurgence and...
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Brief: Gazan “Gray-Zone Militants” Challenge U.S. Immigration Vetting (The Jamestown Foundation)

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A Gazan man accused of participating in the October 7 attacks entered the United States on a visa after concealing his ties to the...
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The Gaza peace plan needs revolving door diplomacy by Gulf and European ‘Trump whisperers’ (Neil Quilliam – Chatham House)

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The success of US President Donald Trump’s 20-point plan to end the conflict between Israel and Hamas rests on many factors. Not least is...
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Turkey’s Call to Act and Israel’s Red Line: Ankara’s Role in Gaza (Burcu Ozcelik – RUSI)

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The fragile ceasefire in Gaza presents a critical opening for international stabilisation and reconstruction efforts, yet a key component of US President Trump’s 20-point...
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The Impact of Evolving Threat Perceptions on the Transatlantic Alliance (Erik Brattberg – RUSI)

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This paper examines how shifting threat perceptions are affecting definitions of national security in the US and Europe, and considers the future implications for...
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Russia’s Latest Nuclear Saber-Rattling: Nuclear Testing? (Heather Williams and Lachlan MacKenzie – Center for Strategic & International Studies)

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In a November 5 meeting of the Security Council of Russia, President Vladimir Putin directed his military and political leaders to “submit coordinated proposals...
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Three Steps to Protect the United States Against Extreme Heat (J. Stephen Morrison, Katherine E. Bliss, and Christina E. Zielke – Center for Strategic...

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Extreme heat is becoming an urgent priority in the United States and beyond. The threat posed by extreme heat has become a matter of...
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Why is President Trump Threatening a Humanitarian Intervention in Nigeria? (Crisis Group)

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Relations between the U.S. and Nigeria have soured dramatically amid the Trump administration’s allegations that Nigerian Christians are being slaughtered en masse. In this...
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Pivotal U.S. Summit Could Help Mend a Fractured Syria (Steven A. Cook – Council on Foreign Relations)

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It has been a momentous eleven months since Syria’s ousted former leader Bashar al-Assad took flight to Moscow, ending his family’s fifty-three-year repressive rule...
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Kazakhstan will join the Abraham Accords. Here’s what that means for the US, the Middle East, and Central Asia (Atlantic Council)

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Central Asia just became more central to US diplomacy. Kazakhstan will join the Abraham Accords, a diplomatic pact brokered by the United States in...
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Gen Z protests have spread to seven countries. What do they all have in common? (Atlantic Council)

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The phenomenon of young people driving consequential political change is not new. During the Arab Spring in 2011 and 2012, many large-scale demonstrations were...
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The expert conversation: What’s Trump’s endgame in Venezuela? (Atlantic Council)

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US President Donald Trump has steadily accelerated his campaign of attacks on alleged drug boats in the Caribbean and Pacific Ocean, while building up...
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Saudi Arabia Faces Challenges and Opportunities (The Soufan Center)

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The weakening of Iran’s geostrategic position has eased Saudi Arabia’s security concerns, but it has also propelled other regional powers, including Türkiye and Egypt,...
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As Data Centers Proliferate, Anti-AI Resistance Has the Potential to Turn Violent (The Soufan Center)

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Online threats to physically sabotage AI data centers, which house the servers necessary to train, deploy, and deliver AI services, have proliferated over the...
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Mali on the Brink of Collapse as Jihadists Threaten to Overrun the Country (The Soufan Center)

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The West African country of Mali stands on the brink of collapse, with al-Qaeda’s Sahelian branch, Jama’at Nusrat ul-Islam wa al-Muslimin (JNIM), choking off...
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Iran Update, November 5, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

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Iran-Belarus Defense Cooperation: Iran may seek to exchange technical information with Belarus related to air defense systems and electronic warfare (EW) equipment to enhance...
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Russia Is Turning Deported Ukrainian Children Into Bargaining Chips (Institute for the Study of War)

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Russian officials have seized on recent US efforts to advocate for, identify, and repatriate deported Ukrainian children to downplay the massive scale and systematic...
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UN News (5 November 2025)

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(SDGs - Second World Summit for Social Development) As the Second World Summit for Social Development continued in Doha on Wednesday, governments warned that...
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Drones are Changing How Wars Harm Civilians (Lauren Spink – Just Security)

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Armed actors are dramatically escalating their use of unpiloted aerial vehicles (UAVs), more commonly known as drones. Center for Civilians in Conflict (CIVIC)’s Protection...
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Iran Update, November 4, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

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Iranian Proposals to Iraqi Militias: Iran is reportedly attempting to force its large proxy and partner militias in Iraq to move into politics, possibly...
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UN News (4 November 2025)

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(Humanitarian Aid - Sudan) New analysis of hunger and malnutrition in war-torn Sudan has revealed sharp contrasts along conflict lines, three UN agencies reported...
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Peace, going beyond

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(Marco Emanuele)  The process of building peace requires, first and foremost, a cultural transformation. Thinking in terms of complexity and systemic sustainability is fundamental. It is...
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Drug War or Regime Change? Trump’s Venezuela and Western Hemisphere Policy (Crisis Group)

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In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Venezuela and Andes expert Phil Gunson and Latin America & Caribbean director...
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The Trial of South Sudan’s Vice President Riek Machar (Crisis Group)

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In this episode of The Horn, Alan is joined by Edmund Yakani, executive director of the Community Empowerment for Progress Organization, to discuss the...
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Defusing Cameroon’s Dangerous Electoral Standoff (Crisis Group)

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Authorities have proclaimed long-time incumbent Paul Biya the winner of Cameroon’s 12 October presidential election, setting off a wave of demonstrations by the opposition,...
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Friends to All: Southeast Asia Diversifies, but ASEAN Falters (Colleen Scribner – German Marshall Fund of the United States)

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The outcomes of the 47th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit, held during intensifying US-China competition, did not reflect alignment with either superpower...
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Systemic sustainability goes hand in hand with peace

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(Marco Emanuele) We have gone too far beyond the limits of systemic sustainability. It is not just an ecological issue, a matter of caring for...
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The Trump-Xi Summit: A Fragile Trade Truce, Not a Reset, Emerges (Bonnie S. Glaser – German Marshall Fund of the United States)

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There was considerable anxiety ahead of US President Donald Trump’s meeting with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, in South Korea. Many feared the president...
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