Iranian regime change, if it happens, will be home-made (Mitra Safavi-Naeini – ASPI The Strategist)

If political change comes to Iran, it is unlikely to be led by familiar exile figures or pre-packaged opposition coalitions.

Even supporters of exiled crown prince and opposition figure Reza Pahlavi acknowledge, sometimes openly, that he cannot return without US backing—and with US strategic attention shifting elsewhere, that backing is uncertain. Exile legitimacy depends on external sponsorship; internal legitimacy does not. Change would almost certainly emerge from within the country, in forms that are difficult to anticipate from abroad.

Iranian regime change, if it happens, will be home-made | The Strategist