La tenerezza come fattore geostrategico / Tenderness as a geostrategic factor

Nulla di romantico. Con molto realismo, sottolineiamo la tenerezza tante volte evocata da Papa Francesco. Ben sappiamo che la geopolitica è dura e che il mondo, in una fase di crescente complessità, è attraversato da...

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La tenerezza come fattore geostrategico / Tenderness as a geostrategic factor

Nulla di romantico. Con molto realismo, sottolineiamo la tenerezza tante volte evocata da Papa Francesco. Ben sappiamo che la geopolitica è dura e che il...

Geostrategic magazine (24 April 2025)

From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye Today’s about: Azerbaijan; China; Europe; G20; Georgia-Ukraine;...

Moscow’s Taliban Rapprochement: High-Risk Realpolitik (Soufan Center)

The Russian Supreme Court annulled the Taliban’s designation as a terrorist organization, eliminating legal barriers to establishing formal relations between Moscow and the de...

New CNAS Report on the World-Altering Stakes of U.S.-China AI Competition (Center for a New American Security)

The Center for a New American Security released a new report, Promethean Rivalry: The World-Altering Stakes of Sino-American AI Competition, by Bill Drexel. The...

The India-U.S. TRUST Initiative: In Space We TRUST: New Horizons (Tejas Bharadwaj, Carnegie India)

One of the key areas of collaboration under the TRUST initiative, as highlighted in the joint statement, was civil space cooperation. Following the leaders’...

The India-U.S. TRUST Initiative: A Resilient Pharma Supply Chain (Shruti Sharma, Carnegie India)

This essay takes stock of the early momentum generated by the joint leaders’ commitment to catalyze public and private investments in building Indian manufacturing...

How Southeast Asia Sees Xi Jinping’s Regional Push Amid U.S.-China Tensions (Li Mingjiang, Le Hong Hiep, Ngeow Chow Bing, Neak Chandarith – Carnegie China)

Politburo member Wang Yi’s postmortem on President Xi Jinping’s April 14-18 visit to Southeast Asia captured a core message – “at this moment of...

Can the EU Overcome Divisions on Defense? (Catherine Hoeffler, Sinan Ülgen – Carnegie Europe)

Internal divisions and reliance on the United States have long hindered the EU’s development of a unified defense policy. It may take new security...

Rebuilding the Syrian Nation: Impressions from the Ground (Marie Forestier – Carnegie Middle East Center)

Traveling throughout Syria in the immediate aftermath of Bashar al-Assad’s ouster in December 2024, as I did in February of this year, one cannot...

Time for a European Security Council? (Richard G Whitman, RUSI)

The Trump Administration’s decision to reverse the US position, away from providing diplomatic and military support for Kyiv and towards brokering a peace deal...

UK Sanctions Implementation and Strategy Taskforce: Ransomware Sanctions (Jamie MacColl, Gareth Mott, Gonzalo Saiz Erausquin – RUSI)

The ransomware sanctions regime has expanded in recent years and has become a core component of the UK’s counter-ransomware strategy. The government aims to...

Geostrategic magazine (23 April 2025)

From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye Today’s about: Arms Control; Azerbaijan-Georgia; Central Asia;...

Pensiero critico e democrazia / Critical thinking and democracy

Evocare il principio di non contraddizione significa tradire la complessità di noi e della realtà. Nulla di umano può appartenere alla categoria della certezza...

U.S. and Iran Agree to Detail a Nuclear Accord (Soufan Center)

The second meeting between the Trump administration and Iran this past Saturday in Rome resulted in an agreement to convene technical teams this week...

Facts gone missing in Australia’s debate about Indonesia-Russia basing deal (Susannah Patton, The Interpreter)

Since disturbing reports about a Russian bid to base aircraft in Indonesia broke last week, both sides of Australian politics have continued to exploit...

Hirschman’s warning: Forgotten lessons about Trump’s trade war (Mark Beeson, The Interpreter)

Who would have thought? Albert Hirschman, a 20th century German political economist, is having a belated “moment”. Overdue and welcome as this may be,...

The cost of AUKUS on Afterpay (Stephen Grenville, The Interpreter)

Whether Donald Trump’s new world requires a Plan B revision to Australia’s security strategy or simply a continuation of flexibility, it’s hard to deny...

A Ukraine-model deal in the South China Sea? (Vincent Kyle Parada, The Interpreter)

Donald Trump is making good on his promise of “America First.” After admonishing US allies for failing to pay their “fair share” of defence...

Smarter uses for our intelligence (Miah Hammond-Errey, The Interpreter)

The independent review of Australia’s intelligence agencies, publicly released last month, found them to be highly capable and performing well as a community. It...

Britain recasts AUKUS for a new era (Sophia Gaston, The Strategist)

Britain once risked a reputation as the weak link in the trilateral AUKUS partnership. But now the appointment of an empowered senior official to...

Australia’s basic-metals problem: old plants and subsidised Chinese competition (David Uren, The Strategist)

Australia’s ability to produce basic metals, including copper, lead, zinc, nickel and construction steel, is in jeopardy, with ageing plants struggling against Chinese competition....

Indonesia needs to rethink its approach to military drones (Sandy Juda Pratama, Curie Maharani, Gautama Adi Kusuma – The Strategist)

Indonesia’s armed forces still have a lot of work to do in making proper use of drones. Two major challenges are pilot training and...

Geostrategic magazine (22 April 2025)

From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye Today’s about: Algeria-Mali; Armenia; Europe; IMF-World Bank...

Francesco, il Papa della complessità / Francis, the Pope of complexity

Dopo la morte di Papa Francesco, le riflessioni sulla Chiesa Cattolica crescono esponenzialmente. L'esperienza di Bergoglio lascia una eredità complessa e incompiuta, come quella di...

Democrazie e multilateralismo nel futuro già presente / Democracies and multilateralism in the future already present

Le democrazie rappresentative, eredi e custodi delle grandi conquiste post-Seconda Guerra Mondiale, sono chiaramente percorse da una profonda crisi de-generativa. Altrettanto avviene per il...

Per comunità-in-dialogo / For communities-in-dialogue

Il mondo-giungla si nutre d’instabilità e violenza. Certo apprezziamo, e dobbiamo rafforzare, ogni tentativo di raggiungere mediazioni (non compromessi senza visione politica ...) per...

Risorgere in una nuova filosofia della Storia / Resurrecting in a new philosophy of History

Nei tempi di grande trasformazione serve un lavoro di ri-pensamento dell’impianto culturale che utilizziamo per comprendere e per tentare di governare il mondo nell’interesse...

AI Technologies and National Security (Kenneth Payne, RUSI)

AI is rapidly reshaping national security, offering transformative possibilities for defence, intelligence and strategic influence. From AI-driven cybersecurity to predictive analysis and autonomous systems,...

Space Technologies in the UK (Clifford Fletcher-Jones, RUSI)

Space technologies are critical to the UK’s economic future in finance, navigation, defence and secure communications. As competition in space intensifies, the UK is...

Quantum Technologies in the UK (Rob Young, RUSI)

Quantum physics governs the microscopic world, enabling groundbreaking technologies that surpass conventional capabilities. Once a domain of abstract theory, quantum science is now driving...

The US dollar’s role in the international monetary system is now dangerously in flux (David Lubin, Chatham House)

Attempts to explain the dollar’s declining value in recent weeks will naturally focus on the growing likelihood of a US recession: the prospect of...

Settler Violence Is Turning the West Bank Into a Tinderbox (Neomi Neumann, Washington Institute for Near East Policy)

The early months of 2025 have seen a significant rise in extremist right-wing violence against Palestinians in the West Bank—an estimated 30 percent increase...

MENA Energy Recap, Q1 2025: Tariffs and Sanctions Loom Large as Trump Returns (Colby Connelly, Middle East Institute)

With the first week of April now firmly in the rear-view mirror, the first quarter of 2025 can easily be characterized as a period...

Thinking the unthinkable: Improved US-Iran relations under Trump? (Ross Harrison, Alex Vatanka – Middle East Institute)

It is no surprise that both Iran and the United States have approached their first diplomatic engagement in four years with wariness and skepticism....

Enabling Responsible Space Behaviours Through Space Situational Awareness (Daouglas Barrie, Matthew Bint, Ester Sabatino – IISS)

Space is fundamental for global economic activity, but its congestion and militarisation represent risks. This report details steps taken by the UN to influence...

Great-power competition in the Panama Canal (Jenny Duan, IISS)

Panama, a small nation with outsized influence due to its role in global shipping, faces a tricky balance: navigating foreign investment and its alignment...

Japan’s maritime cooperation in Southeast Asia (Takahiro Kamisuna, IISS)

In January 2025, during his first visit to Indonesia as Japanese prime minister, Ishiba Shigeru announced that Japan would send two high-speed patrol vessels...

Japan and the US – tariffs, gaiatsu and options (Robert Ward, IISS)

Japan would be adversely affected by increased US tariffs but has a history of responding positively to policy lurches in Washington. Pressure from the...

Geostrategic magazine (19 April 2025)

From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye Today’s about: Belarus-Russia-Ukraine-US; China; Egypt-Middle East; Europe;...

What Gen Z Thinks About U.S. Foreign Policy (Christopher S. Chivvis, Lauren Morganbesser – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)

In less than ten years, some members of Gen Z—born roughly between 1997 and 2012—will be eligible to serve as president of the United...

Russia’s Indo-Pacific Pivot: Patchy, Persistent, and Problematic (Robert McKinnon – German Marshall Fund of the United States)

With the horrors of Moscow’s 2022 full scale invasion of Ukraine dominating Western policies toward Russia, it is easy to forget that, at the...

A Look at China’s Innovative Corporate Carbon Accounting and Rating Platform (Siqi Zhong, Ting Su, Xiaozhen Li, Xinyi Zhang – World Resources Institute)

China's commitments to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 come with an enormous financing need. Estimates suggest the country...

Why trade tensions are a ‘storm cloud’ over financial markets (Spencer Feingold – World Economic Forum)

New US tariffs have upended global trade and caused significant volatility in financial markets. In early April, global stock markets plummeted after US President...

Language, Memory, and the Fragility of US–Iran Nuclear Diplomacy (Ludovica Castelli, Stimson Center)

On December 19, 2003, Libya announced that it would dismantle its weapons of mass destruction program, ending a decade-long effort to acquire nuclear weapons....

Why Russia Isn’t Doomed (Mathew Burrows, Collin Meisel – Stimson Center)

Russia’s pivot to the East, prevalent through increased economic ties to China, solidifies the geopolitical theory that the world’s economic center of gravity is...

Geostrategic magazine (18 April 2025)

From global think tanks The analyses published here do not necessarily reflect the strategic thinking of The Global Eye Today’s about: Australia-China; Central Asia; India; Indonesia;...

Bipartisan duo wants to renew 10-year-old cyberthreat information sharing law (Jonathan Greig, The Record)

Two senators have introduced a bill designed to extend for another decade the provisions of pivotal cybersecurity legislation from 2015 that encouraged businesses to...

The Future of AI is Sovereign: How it Evolves is Up to Us (Trisha Ray, Observer Research Foundation)

Advanced Artificial Intelligence is fundamentally strange. We can think of this “strangeness” in terms of the classic iceberg analogy. At the tip of the...

Navigating the Entanglements in the U.S.-China Quantum Technology Race (Linda Nhon, Andreas Kuehn – Observer Research Foundation)

Trump 2.0’s overall policy directions in critical and emerging technologies will likely hew to common expectations. The details, however, of what technologies the new...

The Future of Fossil Fuels in a Decarbonising World (Mannat Jaspal, Observer Research Foundation)

Across the globe, energy transition policies are reshaping the role of fossil fuels in the energy mix and redefining the relationship between economic growth...

North Korea’s Growing SSBN Capabilities: Strategic Implications (Anubhav Shankar Goswami, Observer Research Foundation)

The air is thick with speculation as North Korea’s first nuclear ballistic missile submarine takes shape, poised to alter the strategic balance in the...

What a post-Assad Syria means for China (Kabir Taneja, Observer Research Foundation)

Over the past two years, China’s foreign policy has been consistent in the manner of largely supporting the Arab positions over Gaza, which included...

Greening AI: US-India Role in Balancing Innovation and Sustainability (Urmi Tat, Observer Research Foundation)

Artificial Intelligence has become deeply integrated into modern society, reshaping industries, daily life, and economic structures. At its core, AI refers to systems that...

Emerging Economies and the Tariff Taper: India’s Subtle Leadership (Nilanjan Ghosh, Observer Research Foundation)

The international trade landscape has received a jolt from the Trump administration’s aggressive push for reciprocal tariffs. This not only signals a deeper retreat...

Trump’s Push for Critical Minerals: Why it will Redefine Global Economy and Geopolitics (Prateek Tripathi, Observer Research Foundation)

On March 20, 2025, President Trump invoked emergency provisions under Section 301 of Title 3 of the United States Code to pass an executive...

EU Response to Trump’s Tariffs: Between Retaliation and Negotiation (Shairee Malhotra, Observer Research Foundation)

During that fateful meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and United States President Donald Trump in the Oval Office in February 2025, Trump told Zelensky...

U.S. AI Action Plan: Recommendations to the National Science Foundation and the Office of Science and Technology Policy (Siddarth Yadav, Anirban Sarma – Observer...

The Donald Trump administration is prioritising the enhancement of United States leadership in artificial intelligence through deregulation, private-sector investment, and strategic policy development. To...

Iraqi Banking System: Caught Between Corruption and Sanctions (Emirates Policy Center)

(Emirates Policy Center) Iraqi political and economic leaders fear that the Trump administration may impose additional financial sanctions on Iraqi banks, potentially threatening an...

Sadr Renews Boycott of Iraq’s political Process: A Strategic Stance or Tactical Maneuver? (Emirates Policy Center)

(Emirates Policy Center) After months of signaling potential re-engagement in Iraqi politics – particularly ahead of the upcoming elections – Muqtada al-Sadr, the leader...

We asked 5 economists about long-term economic trends. Here’s what they said (Spencer Feingold, World Economic Forum)

The global economy has faced a series of challenges in recent years. We asked five leading chief economists about long-term economic trends. “People don't...