Geostrategic magazine (it-en, 23 september 2023)

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DAILY FROM GLOBAL THINK TANKS

SYSTEMIC SUSTAINABILITY

CLIMATE IMPACT & ACTION – SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT – SDGs

(1) Natalia Alayza, Valerie Laxton e Caroly Neunuebel (World Resources Institute) scrivono della cosiddetta ‘trappola del debito climatico’ per i Paesi in via di sviluppo

Natalia Alayza, Valerie Laxton and Caroly Neunuebel (World Resources Institute) write about the so-called ‘climate debt trap’ for developing countries

How the Debt Crisis Affects the Climate Crisis in Developing Nations | World Resources Institute (wri.org)

(2) Glada Lahn e Patrick Schröder (Chatham House) scrivono che, per migliorare il raggiungimento degli SDGs, sono necessarie riforme sostanziali all’interno del sistema finanziario multilaterale e delle banche multilaterali di sviluppo

Glada Lahn and Patrick Schröder (Chatham House) write that substantial reforms within the multilateral financial system and multilateral development banks are needed to improve the achievement of the SDGs

If the SDGs are to survive, multilateral development banks must embrace reform | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

(3) Robert Yates (Chatham House) scrive delle difficoltà per il raggiungimento dell’Obiettivo di Sviluppo Sostenibile sulla copertura sanitaria universale. 4,5 miliardi di persone non sono coperte dai servizi sanitari essenziali e oltre 2 miliardi di persone soffrono di gravi difficoltà economiche per accedere all’assistenza sanitaria. Secondo l’Autore occorre implementare, tra aiuti globali e politiche nazionali, finanziamenti pubblici per la copertura sanitaria universale

Robert Yates (Chatham House) writes about the difficulties in achieving the Sustainable Development Goal on universal health coverage. 4.5 billion people are not covered by essential health services and more than 2 billion people suffer severe economic hardship in accessing health care. According to the author, there is a need to implement, between global aid and national policies, public funding for universal health coverage

Domestic public financing is the key to universal health coverage | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

GENDER 

Linda Robinson (Council on Foreign Relations) scrive dell’importanza delle politiche di genere per raggiungere tutti gli SDGs. Occorre un impegno rinnovato e sostanziale

Linda Robinson (Council on Foreign Relations) writes about the importance of gender policies to achieve all the SDGs. A renewed and substantial commitment is needed

UN Members See Need for Ramped-Up Progress on Gender Equality | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

GLOBAL ORDER

(1) Samir Saran (Observer Research Foundation) scrive che il G20 a Presidenza indiana ha posto le basi per visione multilaterale della governance globale

Samir Saran (Observer Research Foundation) writes that the G20 Indian Presidency laid the foundation for multilateral vision of global governance

The New Suez Moment? India’s G20 and the Tectonic Transition | ORF (orfonline.org)

(2) Mark Malloch-Brown, Roger Boyes e Leslie Vinjamuri (Chatham House) discutono se l’ONU stia perdendo la sua importanza nelle relazioni internazionali

Mark Malloch-Brown, Roger Boyes and Leslie Vinjamuri (Chatham House) discuss whether the UN is losing its relevance in international relations

Independent Thinking: Is the United Nations now irrelevant? | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

(3) Un panel di esperti, per Carnegie Europe, discute delle necessarie e urgenti riforme del Consiglio di Sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite

Panel of experts, for Carnegie Europe, discusses urgently needed UN Security Council reforms

Judy Asks: Is the United Nations Still Fit for Purpose? – Carnegie Europe – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

SECURITY

Statewatch scrive che Interpol sta costruendo la piattaforma di elaborazione dati chiamata INSIGHT, che dovrebbe fornire alle forze di polizia di tutto il mondo ‘analisi predittive’ generate dai dati interni dell’Interpol, dalle informazioni ricevute dagli Stati membri, da fonti ‘esterne’ come le banche dati commerciali e ‘dal riconoscimento visivo, video, audio, facciale e dai dati anagrafici’. Il Dipartimento di Stato americano ha finora stanziato più di 12 milioni di dollari per il progetto

Statewatch writes that Interpol is building a data processing platform called INSIGHT, which is expected to provide police forces around the world with ‘predictive analytics’ generated from Interpol’s internal data, information received from member states, ‘external’ sources such as commercial databases, and ‘visual, video, audio, facial recognition, and biographical data’. The US State Department has so far allocated more than USD 12 million to the project

Statewatch | Interpol: multi-million dollar “predictive analytics” system under construction

WORLDS (GEOSTRATEGIES)

AFGHANISTAN – CENTRAL ASIA

Pravesh Kumar Gupta (Vivekananda International Foundation) scrive a proposito delle relazioni tra l’Afghanistan dei Talebani e i Paesi dell’Asia Centrale. Cruciale è la questione della gestione sostenibile dell’acqua

Pravesh Kumar Gupta (Vivekananda International Foundation) writes about the relations between Taliban Afghanistan and Central Asian countries. Crucial is the question of sustainable water management

Afghanistan and Central Asia: The Canal Conundrum | Vivekananda International Foundation (vifindia.org)

EUROPE

(1) Statewatch scrive che occorrono modifhce alla proposta sulla sicurezza delle informazioni dell’UE, così come è stata introdotta. L’attuale versione della norma ha una serie di lacune sulla gestione delle informazioni classificate che impedirebbero al Parlamento Europeo e alla Corte di Giustizia di esercitare il loro ruolo secondo quanto previsto nei trattati dell’Unione Europea

Statewatch writes that changes are needed to the EU information security proposal as it has been introduced. The current version of the rule has a number of loopholes on the handling of classified information that would prevent the European Parliament and the Court of Justice from exercising their role as provided for in the EU treaties

Statewatch | The new proposal on the security of EU information: a wider but incomplete legal framework for classified information

(2) Statewatch scrive che, mentre sono in corso discussioni sulla  proposta di legge UE sull’intelligenza artificiale, 115 associazioni chiedono limiti e controlli rigorosi ‘per prevenire danni, proteggere le persone dalle violazioni dei diritti e fornire confini legali alle autorità per utilizzare l’IA entro i confini dello stato di diritto’

Statewatch writes that while discussions on the proposed EU law on artificial intelligence are ongoing, 115 associations are calling for strict limits and controls ‘to prevent harm, protect people from rights violations, and provide legal boundaries for authorities to use AI within the boundaries of the rule of law’

Statewatch | Police AI needs strict limits and controls, warn civil society organisations

INDIA-MIDDLE EAST-EUROPE ECONOMIC CORRIDOR

Navdeep Suri (Observer Research Foundation) scrive delle implicazioni geostrategiche del Corridoio IMEEC e di come tale iniziativa vada oltre le questioni del commercio

Navdeep Suri (Observer Research Foundation) writes about the geostrategic implications of the IMEEC Corridor and how this initiative goes beyond trade issues

The corridor plan unveiled at G20 goes much beyond trade | ORF (orfonline.org)

JAPAN – ASEAN

Vannarith Chheang (East Asia Forum) scrive sull’evoluzione della relazione strategica tra Giappone e ASEAN nel quadro della competizione tra USA e Cina

Vannarith Chheang (East Asia Forum) writes on the evolution of the strategic relationship between Japan and ASEAN in the context of the competition between the US and China

A relationship fit for the times? | East Asia Forum

MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA

Renad Mansour, Tim Eaton e Lina Khatib (Chatham House) scrivono, in un paper e analizzando la situazione in Iraq, Libano e Libia, di come gli ‘accordi tra élite’ abbiamo contribuito a ridurre la violenza diretta ma abbiamo trascurato le forme strutturali di violenza. Il documento  propone un nuovo approccio inclusivo agli insediamenti politici, incentrato sull’aumento della responsabilità e non solo sulla stabilità

Renad Mansour, Tim Eaton and Lina Khatib (Chatham House) write, in a paper and analysing the situation in Iraq, Lebanon and Libya, about how ‘agreements between elites’ have helped reduce direct violence but neglected structural forms of violence. The paper proposes a new inclusive approach to political settlements, focused on increasing accountability and not just stability

Rethinking political settlements in the Middle East and North Africa | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

NAGORNO KARABAKH

Mathieu Droin, Tina Dolbaia e Abigail Edwards (Center for Strategic & International Studies) scrivono della ripresa degli scontri nella regione del Nagorno-Karabakh. Gli Autori notano come la minore presenza della Russia, a causa della guerra in Ucraina, abbia permesso ad attori esterni come Turchia, Israele e Iran di promuovere i propri interessi nella regione. Quale ruolo avrà l’Occidente ? 

Mathieu Droin, Tina Dolbaia and Abigail Edwards (Center for Strategic & International Studies) write about the resumption of clashes in the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The authors note how the reduced presence of Russia, due to the war in Ukraine, has allowed external actors such as Turkey, Israel and Iran to promote their own interests in the region. What role will the West play?

A Renewed Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Reading Between the Front Lines (csis.org)

PHILIPPINES

Antonio M La Vina, Ronald U Mendoza e Philip Arnold P Tuano (East Asia Forum) scrivono dei risultati contrastanti del primo anno di presidenza di Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr e si domandano se il Presidente riuscirà a migliorare la sua ‘alleanza di unità’ a favore di una tecnocrazia più forte e credibile o se degenererà, come avvenuto in passato, verso mere nomine di convenienza politica

Antonio M La Vina, Ronald U Mendoza and Philip Arnold P Tuano (East Asia Forum) write about the mixed results of Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr’s first year in office and wonder whether the President will succeed in improving his ‘alliance of unity’ in favour of a stronger and more credible technocracy or whether he will degenerate, as in the past, into mere appointments of political expediency

State of the Philippine Nation under Marcos 2.0 | East Asia Forum

UK

Antony Froggatt (Chatham House) scrive del progressivo arretramento delle politiche climatiche del governo inglese

Antony Froggatt (Chatham House) writes about the progressive retreat of the British government’s climate policies

Rishi Sunak’s speech will make the UK harder to take seriously at COP28 | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

UKRAINE

Glib Kanievskyi (RUSI) scrive del meccanismo sanzionatorio, in Ucraina, di beni di proprietà di persone o aziende che sostengono l’invasione russa. Sulla base di tale meccanismo, beni appartenenti a oligarchi russi sono stati sequestrati e destinati alla ricostruzione dell’Ucraina

Glib Kanievskyi (RUSI) writes about the sanctioning mechanism in Ukraine of assets owned by people or companies that support the Russian invasion. On the basis of this mechanism, assets belonging to Russian oligarchs were seized and earmarked for the reconstruction of Ukraine

Confiscating Russian Oligarchs’ Assets in Ukraine: The First Successes | Royal United Services Institute (rusi.org)

USA – AFRICA

Witney Schneidman e Gracelin Baskaran (Brookings) scrivono della possibile visita del Presidente americano Biden in Africa. Gli Autori ne sottolineano l’importanza strategica e suggeriscono un ‘itinerario’

Witney Schneidman and Gracelin Baskaran (Brookings) write about US President Biden’s possible visit to Africa. The authors stress its strategic importance and suggest an ‘itinerary’.

Will Biden visit Africa this year? | Brookings

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