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Independent Thinking: Trump’s tools – tariffs and sanctions (Chatham House)

How much of Donald Trump’s sanctions strategy is substance – and how much is performance? In this episode of Independent Thinking, Chatham House experts...

The Twilight of International Peacemaking Institutions? (Richard Gowan – Crisis Group)

These are hard times for formal international institutions. The post-Cold War period saw the rapid expansion of multilateral organisations in numerous policy domains, not...

How 12 days have changed Iran (John Raine – IISS)

All parties are claiming victory in the ‘12-day war’, which ended on 25 June. United States President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu...

UK–France defence: a statement of entente for wider European security? (Nick Childs – IISS)

The United Kingdom and France have revamped and strengthened their nuclear and conventional defence cooperation through the Lancaster House 2.0 and Northwood declarations. To...

Sanctions and Military Action Fail to Stop Houthi Attacks (Soufan Center)

Alone among Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” partners, the Houthi movement in Yemen remains undeterred despite U.S. and Israeli military action as well as the...

Terminal Authority: Assessing the CCP’s Emerging Crisis of Political Succession (Peace Ajirotutu, Sunny Cheung, Arran Hope, Matthew Johnson, Peter Mattis, Shijie Wang, Cheryl Yu...

Xi Jinping continues to dominate the Chinese Party-state system, based on an assessment of evidence from spring and summer 2025. Despite high-level purges, unusual...

Taiwan Bounty: PRC Cross-Agency Operations Target Taiwanese Military Personnel (Sze-Fung Lee – The Jamestown Foundation)

For the first time, public security authorities in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are targeting Taiwanese military personnel and so-called “Taiwan independence” (台独)...

Smart Device Empire: Beijing’s Expansion Through Everyday Digital Infrastructure (Matthew Johnson – The Jamestown Foundation)

The PRC is exporting an integrated system of smart devices, data infrastructure, and governance standards. Through industrial policy, state-backed overproduction, and strategic data asymmetry,...

PLA Navy Shifts Training Focus from Near-Shore to Blue-Water Operations (Yu-cheng Chen, K. Tristan Tang – The Jamestown Foundation)

In June 2025, the Liaoning and Shandong carrier strike groups conducted operations in the Western Pacific, achieving three major milestones with significant strategic implications...

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