Forecasting the Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship: The Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement (CSET)

November 20, 2021

Experts often have different views about big questions relevant to technology and security policy, such as the future of the U.S.-China relationship, or the effect a policy will have on global stability. By breaking big questions down into measurable components, we can better understand what drives experts’ views and accounts for their disagreements. CSET Research Fellow Michael Page and Director of Data Science Catherine Aiken discussed how they used this approach, along with CSET’s crowd forecasting platform Foretell, to shed light on a big question: what is the future of the DOD-Silicon Valley relationship? View the recording below to learn how CSET broke this question down into forecastable components and used the wisdom of the crowd to arbitrate expert disagreement.

Forecasting the Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship: The Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement – Center for Security and Emerging Technology (georgetown.edu)

Marco Emanuele

Marco Emanuele è appassionato di cultura della complessità, cultura della tecnologia e relazioni internazionali. Approfondisce il pensiero di Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. Marco ha insegnato Evoluzione della Democrazia e Totalitarismi, è l’editor di The Global Eye e scrive per The Science of Where Magazine. Marco Emanuele is passionate about complexity culture, technology culture and international relations. He delves into the thought of Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. He has taught Evolution of Democracy and Totalitarianisms. Marco is editor of The Global Eye and writes for The Science of Where Magazine.

Forecasting the Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship: The Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement (CSET)

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