Geostrategic magazine (it-en, 30 september 2023)

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Daily from global think tanks

Systemic sustainability (Climate impact & action)

Claudio Forner e David Waskow (World Resources Institute) scrivono sull’importanza dell’Accordo di Parigi e sulle iniziative intergovernative che possono contribuire a sostenerlo

Claudio Forner and David Waskow (World Resources Institute) write about the importance of the Paris Agreement and intergovernmental initiatives that can help support it

Beyond the Paris Agreement: The Next Phase of International Cooperation on Climate Action | World Resources Institute (wri.org)

Worlds (Europe; India; India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor; India-Singapore; Iran-Israel; Israel-USA; Russia; Russia-Belarus; Russia-Ukraine; Syria; Ukraine-NATO; USA)

Europe

Shadi Hamid scrive, in un report, che il think tank Brookings ha riunito per due giorni (marzo 2021) populisti di destra e attivisti delle comunità musulmane per un dialogo privato sull’Islam in Europa. Se, da un lato, il dialogo ha permesso di chiarire i punti di divisione su temi come l’hijab, l’integrazione contro l’assimilazione e il ruolo dello Stato nel plasmare e far rispettare le norme culturali e religiose, dall’altro non è sembrato ridurre i divari

Shadi Hamid writes in a report that the think tank Brookings brought together right-wing populists and Muslim community activists for two days (March 2021) for a private dialogue on Islam in Europe. While the dialogue helped clarify dividing points on issues such as the hijab, integration versus assimilation, and the role of the State in shaping and enforcing cultural and religious norms, it did not seem to narrow the gaps

An experiment in engagement | Brookings

India

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) scrive dell’impegno politico di Nuova Delhi nei cosiddetti ‘minilaterali’ e, ampliando il discorso alle attività militari, di come l’India cerchi di bilanciare i propri interessi strategici (esercitazioni con la Russia e crescente interrelazione con gli USA e i partner occidentali nella regione)

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) writes about New Delhi’s political engagement in the so-called ‘minilaterals’ and, broadening the discourse to military activities, how India tries to balance its strategic interests (exercises with Russia and growing interrelationship with the US and western partners in the region)

India’s Balancing Act Viewed Through Recent Military Exercises | ORF (orfonline.org)

India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) scrive a proposito del Corridoio IMEC e ne rileva sia l’importanza nei settori delle infrastrutture e della connettività sia dal punto di vista geopolitico (rispetto alla Belt and Road Initiative di Pechino)

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) writes about the IMEC Corridor and notes its importance in the areas of infrastructure and connectivity as well as from a geopolitical point of view (with respect to Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative)

The Geopolitics of the New India-Middle East-Europe Corridor | ORF (orfonline.org)

Anil Trigunayat (Vivekananda International Foundation) scrive delle ragioni geopolitiche, geoeconomiche e geostrategiche per i partecipanti, attuali e potenziali, al Corridoio IMEC

Anil Trigunayat (Vivekananda International Foundation) writes about the geopolitical, geo-economic and geostrategic reasons for current and potential participants in the IMEC Corridor

The IMEC Way | Vivekananda International Foundation (vifindia.org)

India – Singapore

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) scrive della esercitazione SIMBEX 2023 tra le Marine dell’India e di Singapore. L’Autrice inquadra l’evento in un contesto regionale segnalando come tali esercitazioni diventeranno più avanzate in termini di complessità delle manovre. Tutte le marine militari hanno in comune l’esigenza di lavorare insieme senza soluzione di continuità nel dominio marittimo

Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan (Observer Research Foundation) writes about the SIMBEX 2023 exercise between the navies of India and Singapore. The author frames the event in a regional context by pointing out how such exercises will become more advanced in terms of the complexity of manoeuvres. All navies have in common the need to work together seamlessly in the maritime domain

India, Singapore Kick off SIMBEX Military Exercise | ORF (orfonline.org)

Iran – Israel

Amir Hossein Vazirian (Middle East Institute) scrive della strategia di Teheran, contro Israele, denominata ‘unification of the arenas campaign’

Amir Hossein Vazirian (Middle East Institute) writes about Tehran’s strategy against Israel called ‘unification of the arenas campaign’

Iran’s unification of the arenas campaign against Israel: Foundations and prospects | Middle East Institute (mei.edu)

Israel – USA

Esperti del think tank Atlantic Council commentano la decisione di Israele di entrare a far parte del Visa Waiver Program (VWP) degli Stati Uniti. Gli israeliani potranno visitare gli Stati Uniti per un massimo di novanta giorni senza visto. Israele doveva estendere i privilegi di reciprocità a tutti i cittadini statunitensi senza riguardo per l’origine nazionale, la religione o l’etnia, cosa che si era impegnato a fare a luglio

Experts from the think tank Atlantic Council comment on Israel’s decision to join the US Visa Waiver Program (VWP). Israelis will be able to visit the US for up to ninety days without a visa. Israel was to extend reciprocity privileges to all US citizens without regard to national origin, religion or ethnicity, which it had pledged to do in July

Israel is joining the US Visa Waiver Program. Here’s what that means. – Atlantic Council

Russia

Seth G. Jones, in un report per Center for Strategic & International Studies, scrive di come evolveranno le forze armate russe. L’esercito di Mosca dovrà passare attraverso un processo di adattamento che richiederà cooperazione con altri Paesi, come la Cina, in ambiti sensibili: armi a lungo raggio e ad alta precisione; sistemi senza pilota;  tecnologie emergenti, come l’intelligenza artificiale; l’utilità della guerra ibrida e irregolare

Seth G. Jones, in a report for the Center for Strategic & International Studies, writes about how the Russian armed forces will evolve. Moscow’s army will have to go through a process of adaptation that will require cooperation with other countries, such as China, in sensitive areas: long-range and high-precision weapons; unmanned systems; emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence; the utility of hybrid and irregular warfare

In the Shadow of Ukraine (csis.org)

Russia – Belarus

Jonathan Masters (Council on Foreign Relations) scrive che la Bielorussia ha fornito a Mosca un importante vantaggio strategico nella guerra contro l’Ucraina, anche se finora non è stata coinvolta direttamente nei combattimenti. Il coinvolgimento della Bielorussia nella guerra ha aumentato le tensioni con gli alleati della NATO a ovest, tra cui Lettonia, Lituania e Polonia. Negli ultimi anni, Vladimir Putin ha sfruttato le debolezze del presidente Aleksandr Lukashenko per accelerare l’integrazione dei due Paesi

Jonathan Masters (Council on Foreign Relations) writes that Belarus has provided Moscow with an important strategic advantage in the war against Ukraine, although so far it has not been directly involved in the fighting. Belarus’ involvement in the war has increased tensions with NATO allies in the west, including Latvia, Lithuania and Poland. In recent years, Vladimir Putin has exploited the weaknesses of President Aleksandr Lukashenko to accelerate the integration of the two countries

The Belarus-Russia Alliance: An Axis of Autocracy in Eastern Europe | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

Russia – Ukraine

Digital Forensic Research Lab of the Atlantic Council think tank updates its report on the war in Ukraine

Russian War Report: Competing claims about the possible death of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet commander – Atlantic Council

Syria

Megan Ferrando (Middle East Institute) scrive che alla drammatica situazione umanitaria in Siria si è sommata una ‘tripla crisi idrica’

Megan Ferrando (Middle East Institute) writes that the dramatic humanitarian situation in Syria has been compounded by a ‘triple water crisis’

How northern Syria’s triple water crisis is exacerbating its people’s woes | Middle East Institute (mei.edu)

Ukraine – NATO

Natia Seskuria (Middle East Institute) sostiene che l’unico modo per proteggere l’Ucraina è l’ingresso a pieno titolo del Paese nella NATO

Natia Seskuria (Middle East Institute) argues that the only way to protect Ukraine is for the country to become a full member of NATO

NATO membership for Ukraine: The only lasting deterrence against future Russian aggression | Middle East Institute (mei.edu)

USA 

Nicol Turner Lee e Jack Malamud (Brookings) scrivono che la Federal Communications Commission è stata incaricata dal Congresso USA di definire la discriminazione digitale. Si tratta di scegliere lo standard da adottare: se di ‘trattamento disparato’ o di ‘impatto disparato’. Nel primo caso la definizione riguarderebbe solo la discriminazione intenzionale; nel secondo caso, invece, si affronterebbe qualsiasi effetto discriminatorio indipendentemente dall’intenzione

Nicol Turner Lee and Jack Malamud (Brookings) write that the Federal Communications Commission has been mandated by the US Congress to define digital discrimination. The question is what standard to adopt: whether ‘disparate treatment’ or ‘disparate impact’. In the first case, the definition would only cover intentional discrimination; in the second case, it would address any discriminatory effect regardless of intent

The FCC’s clock is ticking on defining digital discrimination | Brookings

Jacob Ware (Council on Foreign Relations) scrive che, se può esistere un collegamento tra l’immigrazione e gli atti di terrorismo negli USA, esso va considerato in modo più sfumato rispetto alla retorica propagandistica di certi commentatori

Jacob Ware (Council on Foreign Relations) writes that while there may be a link between immigration and acts of terrorism in the US, it should be considered in a more nuanced way than the propaganda rhetoric of certain commentators

The Southern Border Poses Terrorism Risks. Homegrown Threats Still Loom Larger. | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

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