Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement. Case Study: Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship (Michael Page, CSET)

January 1, 2022

How can state-of-the-art probabilistic forecasting tools be used to advance expert debates on big policy questions? Using Foretell, a crowd forecasting platform piloted by CSET, we trialed a method to break down a big question—”What is the future of the DOD-Silicon Valley relationship?”—into measurable components, and then leveraged the wisdom of the crowd to reduce uncertainty and arbitrate disagreement among a group of experts.

Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement – Center for Security and Emerging Technology (georgetown.edu)

Marco Emanuele

Marco Emanuele è appassionato di cultura della complessità, cultura della tecnologia e relazioni internazionali. Approfondisce il pensiero di Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. Marco ha insegnato Evoluzione della Democrazia e Totalitarismi, è l’editor di The Global Eye e scrive per The Science of Where Magazine. Marco Emanuele is passionate about complexity culture, technology culture and international relations. He delves into the thought of Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. He has taught Evolution of Democracy and Totalitarianisms. Marco is editor of The Global Eye and writes for The Science of Where Magazine.

Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement. Case Study: Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship (Michael Page, CSET)

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