Ani Mejlumyan e Nika Aleksejeva (Atlantic Council) approfondiscono il ruolo di Prigozhin nell’attaccare la narrativa dei vertici russi sulla guerra in Ucraina (1).
Un’argomentata riflessione di Liana Fix (Council on Foreign Relations) pone il tema della fragilità del sistema russo e dell’approccio dell’Europa e della NATO (2).
Mykola Vorobiov (The Jamestown Foundation) sottolinea che gli sviluppi della destabilizzazione e dei disordini all’interno della Russia potrebbero indurre Putin ad accelerare sulla deterrenza-escalation nucleare (3).
Yauheni Preiherman (The Jamestown Foundation) riflette sul ruolo di Minsk nell’intermediazione dell’accordo con Prigozhin e sulle implicazioni per la politica occidentale nei confronti della Bielorussia (4).
Ian Williams (CSIS) sottolinea come non sia realistico aspettarsi che la Russia “finisca” i missili e sostiene che l’Occidente debba continuare a sostenere l’Ucraina con sistemi di difesa aerea e continuare a produrre tali sistemi per mantenere pronta la propria difesa (5).
Alla Hurska (The Jamestown Foundation) approfondisce i danni, ancora da valutare, della distruzione della centrale idroelettrica di Kakhovka. Hurska sostiene che gli sforzi immediati devono concentrarsi sulla risposta ai bisogni umanitari delle regioni colpite e sul sostegno alla ripresa del settore agricolo e di altri settori economici dell’Ucraina (6).
Un report del Council on Foreign Relations analizza il ruolo che gli USA dovrebbero avere rispetto alla salute globale e ai cambiamenti climatici come minacce ai propri interessi nazionali (7).
Chiranjib Sen (East Asia Forum) scrive dell’acceso dibattito in India sul capitalismo clientelare (8).
Joseph Chinyong Liow (East Asia Forum) sottolinea la sfida per gli Stati del Sud-Est asiatico di promuovere la necessaria unità regionale (9).
Martin Chorzempa (East Asia Forum) descrive come il sistema internazionale delle sanzioni non stia mettendo in crisi la supremazia del dollaro USA. Chorzempa suggerisce attenzione nell’imporre sanzioni alla Cina, ciò che potrebbe rendere conveniente una vera alternativa al dollaro USA (10).
Chris Taylor (ASPI, The Strategist) scrive della necessità di revisione dell’intelligence australiana, ben considerando la rapida trasformazione dell’ambiente strategico (11).
Bec Shrimpton (ASPI ,The Strategist) critica la scelta australiana di tagliare la missione spaziale e sottolinea come lo spazio rappresenti una scelta strategica necessaria (12).
Jennifer Hsu (Lowy, The Interpreter) rileva come nell’opinione pubblica australiana sia in calo la percezione di Pechino come una minaccia (13).
Abhijit Singh (ORF) scrive della visita di Modi a Washington e della complessità delle relazioni tra i due Paesi, con particolare riferimento agli accordi di condivisione tecnologica (14).
english version
Ani Mejlumyan and Nika Aleksejeva (Atlantic Council) elaborate on Prigozhin’s role in attacking the narrative of the Russian leadership on the war in Ukraine (1).
A well-argued reflection by Liana Fix (Council on Foreign Relations) raises the issue of the fragility of the Russian system and the approach of Europe and NATO (2).
Mykola Vorobiov (The Jamestown Foundation) points out that the developments of destabilisation and unrest within Russia could lead Putin to accelerate nuclear deterrence-escalation (3).
Yauheni Preiherman (The Jamestown Foundation) reflects on Minsk’s role in brokering the agreement with Prigozhin and the implications for Western policy towards Belarus (4).
Ian Williams (CSIS) points out that it is unrealistic to expect Russia to ‘run out’ of missiles and argues that the West should continue to support Ukraine with air defence systems and continue to produce such systems to keep its defence ready (5).
Alla Hurska (The Jamestown Foundation) elaborates on the damage, yet to be assessed, of the destruction of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant. Hurska argues that immediate efforts must focus on meeting the humanitarian needs of the affected regions and supporting the recovery of Ukraine’s agricultural and other economic sectors (6).
A Council on Foreign Relations report analyses the role the US should play with respect to global health and climate change as threats to its national interests (7).
Chiranjib Sen (East Asia Forum) writes about the heated debate in India on crony capitalism (8).
Joseph Chinyong Liow (East Asia Forum) emphasises the challenge for South East Asian states to promote the necessary regional unity (9).
Martin Chorzempa (East Asia Forum) describes how the international sanctions system is not undermining the supremacy of the US dollar. Chorzempa suggests caution in imposing sanctions on China, which could make a real alternative to the US dollar worthwhile (10).
Chris Taylor (ASPI, The Strategist) writes of the need for an Australian intelligence review, well considering the rapidly changing strategic environment (11).
Bec Shrimpton (ASPI ,The Strategist) criticises Australia’s choice to cut the space mission and points out that space is a necessary strategic choice (12).
Jennifer Hsu (Lowy, The Interpreter) notes how the perception of Beijing as a threat is declining in Australian public opinion (13).
Abhijit Singh (ORF) writes about Modi’s visit to Washington and the complexity of relations between the two countries, with particular reference to technology sharing agreements (14).
version française
Ani Mejlumyan et Nika Aleksejeva (Atlantic Council) développent le rôle de Prigozhin dans l’attaque du discours des dirigeants russes sur la guerre en Ukraine (1).
Une réflexion bien argumentée de Liana Fix (Council on Foreign Relations) soulève la question de la fragilité du système russe et de l’approche de l’Europe et de l’OTAN (2).
Mykola Vorobiov (The Jamestown Foundation) souligne que l’évolution de la déstabilisation et des troubles en Russie pourrait conduire Poutine à accélérer la dissuasion nucléaire et l’escalade (3).
Yauheni Preiherman (The Jamestown Foundation) réfléchit au rôle de Minsk dans la négociation de l’accord avec Prigozhin et aux implications pour la politique occidentale à l’égard du Belarus (4).
Ian Williams (CSIS) souligne qu’il n’est pas réaliste de s’attendre à ce que la Russie soit “à court” de missiles et affirme que l’Occident devrait continuer à soutenir l’Ukraine avec des systèmes de défense aérienne et continuer à produire de tels systèmes pour maintenir sa défense prête (5).
Alla Hurska (The Jamestown Foundation) revient sur les dégâts, encore à évaluer, de la destruction de la centrale hydroélectrique de Kakhovka. Alla Hurska affirme que les efforts immédiats doivent se concentrer sur la satisfaction des besoins humanitaires des régions touchées et sur le soutien au redressement du secteur agricole et des autres secteurs économiques de l’Ukraine (6).
Un rapport du Council on Foreign Relations analyse le rôle que les États-Unis devraient jouer en ce qui concerne la santé mondiale et le changement climatique en tant que menaces pour leurs intérêts nationaux (7).
Chiranjib Sen (East Asia Forum) parle du débat animé en Inde sur le capitalisme de connivence (8).
Joseph Chinyong Liow (East Asia Forum) souligne le défi que doivent relever les États d’Asie du Sud-Est pour promouvoir l’unité régionale nécessaire (9).
Martin Chorzempa (East Asia Forum) décrit comment le système de sanctions internationales n’ébranle pas la suprématie du dollar américain. M. Chorzempa suggère de faire preuve de prudence dans l’imposition de sanctions à la Chine, qui pourrait rendre intéressante une véritable alternative au dollar américain (10).
Chris Taylor (ASPI, The Strategist) souligne la nécessité d’un examen des services de renseignement australiens, compte tenu de l’évolution rapide de l’environnement stratégique (11).
Bec Shrimpton (ASPI, The Strategist) critique le choix de l’Australie de réduire sa mission spatiale et souligne que l’espace est un choix stratégique nécessaire (12).
Jennifer Hsu (Lowy, The Interpreter) note que l’opinion publique australienne perçoit de moins en moins Pékin comme une menace (13).
Abhijit Singh (ORF) évoque la visite de Modi à Washington et la complexité des relations entre les deux pays, notamment en ce qui concerne les accords de partage de technologie (14).
(1) How “Putin’s chef” undermined the Kremlin’s case for invading Ukraine – DFRLab
(2) For Europe, Time to Plan for a Post-Putin Russia | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)
(3) Putin’s Nuclear Provocations Proliferate – Jamestown
(4) What Does Lukashenka’s Role as Mediator in Russian Crisis Imply? – Jamestown
(5) Russia Isn’t Going to Run Out of Missiles (csis.org)
(6) Kakhovka Dam Destruction: Russia’s Ecocide and Economic War Against Ukraine (Part Two) – Jamestown
(7) A New U.S. Foreign Policy for Global Health | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)
(8) Crony capitalism stunts market liberalisation in India | East Asia Forum
(9) Internal discord the greatest threat to Southeast Asian unity | East Asia Forum
(10) Overuse of financial sanctions risks dollar’s role | East Asia Forum
(13) Pragmatism rules the public outlook on Australia-China relations | Lowy Institute
(14) US-India defence technology cooperation: Between illusion and reality | ORF (orfonline.org)
