(Institute for the Study of War)
Ukraine continues to generate leverage against Russia by accomplishing tactical, operational, and strategic battlespace effects. Swedish authorities boarded a Russian shadow fleet tanker on April 3 that was suspected of causing an oil spill in the Baltic Sea. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces launched 10 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, 25 Kh-101 cruise missiles, two Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 542 drones toward Ukraine on the night of April 2 to 3. Russian forces will likely shift their long-range strike campaign toward Ukrainian water supply and logistics targets in Spring and Summer 2026.
