LABORATORIO DI RICERCA COMPLESSA / COMPLEX RESEARCH LABORATORY
Daily from global think tanks and open sources
(the analyzes here recalled do not necessarily correspond to the geostrategic thinking of The Global Eye)
NATO
(Jerzy Koźmiński and Daniel Fried – Atlantic Council) Two years ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale war to force Ukraine back into Russia’s empire. Other European nations once under Kremlin control escaped that fate, arguably because they were already NATO members. This coming Tuesday, March 12, marks the twenty-fifth anniversary of NATO’s enlargement to include Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary, which paved the way for others in formally Kremlin-dominated Europe to do so and later to join the European Union (EU). NATO enlargement seems, then, to have been a big success. But critics have blamed NATO enlargement for alienating Russia or for encroaching on Russia’s natural “sphere of influence.”
NATO enlargement at twenty-five: How we got there and what it achieved – Atlantic Council
Near East
(Ksenia Svetlova – Atlantic Council) On the evening of February 24, when thousands of Israelis gathered in Tel Aviv and demanded the release of the hostages and a date for elections, Lana Grichevsky—a released hostage whose boyfriend, Matan Zangauker, remains in Hamas captivity—was hit in the face by police water cannons. Other protestors were pushed back by mounted police, were shoved violently on the ground, and suffered what many Israeli journalists described as excessive use of force by the police. It resembled many of the violent incidents during the protests against the so-called “judicial reform” promoted by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government during 2023.
North American Free Trade Agreement
(Katherine Tai – Brookings) The entry into force of the final, worker-focused text of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), and in particular its Rapid Response Labor Mechanism (RRM), was a defining moment in the trajectory of trade and international economic policy.
A trade agreement for the common good | Brookings
Russian War in Ukraine
(Kristen D. Thompson – Council on Foreign Relations) The advanced U.S. fighter aircraft will mark a significant upgrade to Ukraine’s air force, but their impact on the war with Russia will hinge on several factors.
What It Takes to Fly the F-16: Challenges for Ukraine | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)
USA
1 – (Ben Harris and Aaron Sojourner – Brookings) The apparent disconnect between the state of the economy and Americans’ reported perceptions about the economy and their own finances is an enduring conundrum of the post-pandemic economic expansion. And in this election year, it is confounding what many election analysts know about incumbent presidents and their reelection chances.
Is the economic news becoming more negative, and does it matter for consumers? | Brookings
2 – (Heidi Crebo-Rediker – Council on Foreign Relations) One of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act’s lesser known components is the investment it provides for resilience against cyber threats to critical infrastructure like ports, energy grids, transmission lines, and railways.
The Science of Where Magazine (Direttore: Emilio Albertario)