The election of Joseph Aoun as president and Nawaf Salam’s success in forming a government reflects a radical shift in Lebanon’s political balance, marking a decline in Hezbollah’s dominance over national decision-making. Lebanon’s internal power struggle is now focused on restructuring state institutions and redistributing security and administrative positions, especially as President Aoun seeks to regain control over security agencies and curb Hezbollah’s influence. President Aoun’s security strategy is centered on three key pillars: establishing a state monopoly over internal security through the military; appointing security officials loyal to his administration; and strengthening foreign security partnerships to gain international legitimacy, particularly in his efforts to contain Hezbollah. Both Aoun and Salam have pledged to rebuild war-affected areas. Notably, Salam has tied reconstruction to the full implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and the ceasefire agreement. This presents a major challenge for Hezbollah, as the reconstruction process depends on foreign assistance. Hezbollah realizes that its continued financial crisis and the deterioration of Lebanon’s economic situation will erode its popular support base and influence inside the country. These challenges may force the group to adapt to the evolving political landscape.
From Security to Reconstruction: Perspective of the New Lebanese Era on Key Domestic Issues (Emirates Policy Center)
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