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Iran Update, September 30, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

Iranian Succession Planning: Senior Iranian officials appear to be preparing for potential military conflict. Iranian officials continue to believe that the current ceasefire...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

Russia and Belarus may conduct special forces sabotage operations against critical infrastructure in Poland and launch additional drone incursions and blame Ukraine. Kremlin-linked Moldovan politicians...

Defossilizing Industry: Considerations for Scaling-up Carbon Capture and Utilization Pathways (World Economic Forum)

Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) present an opportunity to reduce emissions from industrial supply chains by converting captured CO₂ into valuable carbon-based products such...

Electoral Showdown in Somalia: Averting Another Round of Turmoil (Crisis Group)

Somalia is heading toward the familiar terrain of an electoral dispute, bringing with it the risk of a fresh flare-up of violence. Borrowing from...

Ethiopia’s Grand and Contested Dam (Crisis Group)

Alan Boswell and Murithi Mutiga discuss the inauguration of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), Africa’s largest hydroelectric dam. They trace the project’s development...

The Artificial General Intelligence Race and International Security (Jim Mitre, Michael C. Horowitz, Natalia Henry, Emma Borden, Joel B. Predd – RAND Corporation)

As humanity approaches the technological capacity to develop artificial general intelligence (AGI), the race between leading artificial intelligence (AI) powers—particularly the United States and...

Fertility Decline in China and Its National Military, Structural, and Regime Security (Michael S. Pollard, Jennifer Bouey, Agnes Xiangzhen Wang, Rakesh Pandey – RAND...

The People’s Republic of China is facing a rapid change in its population’s age structure following a dramatic decline in fertility that began in...

The Future of AI Policy Is the Future of Competing Demands (RAND Corporation)

Right now, policymakers are contending with decisions to optimize the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI) while ensuring that key pillars of safety, data privacy,...

Update: Why Is Secretary Hegseth Calling His Generals and Admirals to Washington? (Mark F. Cancian – Center for Strategic & International Studies)

On September 30, hundreds of generals and admirals will descend on Quantico, Virginia, for a meeting with the secretary of defense, with the president...

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