Iran’s Access to Global Markets: The Iranian regime appears to be trying to mitigate internal economic pressure by taking steps to remove itself from the Financial Action Task Force blacklist, which currently hampers Iran’s access to the international financial system. It is very unlikely that Iran will halt financial support for the Axis of Resistance, which makes its removal from the blacklist doubtful even if it has adopted international treaties on transnational crime and terrorist financing.
US Forces in Iraq: The US Department of Defense announced on September 30 that it reduced the US military presence in Iraq. A US Embassy in Baghdad spokesperson characterized the force reduction as a transition to a “more traditional bilateral security partnership.”
US-Qatar Relations: US President Donald Trump issued an executive order on September 29 declaring that the United States will consider “any armed attack” on Qatar as a “threat to the peace and security” of the United States. Qatar is already a major non-NATO US ally, which provides it with military and economic privileges but did not entail any security commitments from the United States prior to Trump’s executive order.
Iran Update, October 1, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)
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