Contrary to conventional wisdom that policymakers need only consider geopolitical implications when crafting technology policies and export controls, this assumption misses three critical points: First, the rapid pace of technological advancement means that traditional geopolitical analysis alone is insufficient. Second, the current approach to technology policy formation lacks rigorous analysis of adversaries’ capabilities that was once standard practice in national security decision-making during the Cold War era. Third, modern artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities now enable rapid identification of potential exploitation of US tech policies by adversarial nation states and nonstate actors. The new U.S. presidential administration has an opportunity to combine human expertise with AI-powered analysis to identify the potential vulnerabilities of draft tech policies before they are implemented rather than after they have been weaponized by adversaries.
Hybrid AI and Human Red Teams: Critical to Preventing Policies from Exploitation by Adversaries (David Bray, Stimson Center)
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