Previous geostrategic magazine
Latest
- (Intersections) Chi diventiamo – Who we become (Marco Emanuele)
- (Technology) Spunti di riflessione sui rischi del riconoscimento facciale. Oltre la privacy – Reflecting on the risks of facial recognition. Beyond privacy (Marzia Giglioli)
- (Intersections) Israeliani e Palestinesi. Il ‘destino all’odio’ e la geopolitica che ‘passa sopra’ – Israelis and Palestinians. The ‘fate to hate’ and geopolitics that ‘passes over’ (Marco Emanuele)
We are in cooperation with The Science of Where Magazine. Through the analyses of global think tanks, we follow the evolution of the situation in Israel/Middle East
Daily from global think tanks (Worlds – Systemic Sustainability)
Worlds (Attack on Israel and Impact; Belarus; Ecuador; EU/Gulf; Nagorno Karabakh/Azerbaijan/Armenia; Philippines; Poland; Poland/Belarus; Russia; Sahel; South Caucasus; Syria; Tajikistan/Afghanistan; Turkey/Syria; USA; War in Ukraine)
Attack on Israel and Impact
Crisis Group (Mairav Zonszein) – How Netanyahu Undermined Israel’s Security | Crisis Group
INSS (Orna Mizrahi) – The Escalation with Hezbollah: What Does it Signify? | INSS
INSS (Kobi Michael) – Reconstruct the Gaza Envelope – Now | INSS
Center for Strategic & International Studies (Mark F. Cancian) – Can the United States Equip Israel while Simultaneously Equipping Ukraine and Taiwan? (csis.org)
Atlantic Council (Fred Kempe) – Israel, Ukraine, and how Biden should connect the dots – Atlantic Council
Atlantic Council (Dina Sadek, Layla Mashkoor) – In Israel-Hamas conflict, social media become tools of propaganda and disinformation – DFRLab
Institute for the Study of War (Andie Parry, Ashka Jhaveri, Johanna Moore, Annika Ganzeveld, Amin Soltani, and Nicholas Carl) – Iran Update, October 12, 2023 | Institute for the Study of War (understandingwar.org)
The Global Eye – Israele-Hamas e le reazioni dall’America Latina. Riprendendo Frida Ghitis su World Politics Review – The Global Eye
Cleary Waldo, Gabriel Epstein, Sydney Hilbush (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) – International Reactions to the Hamas Attack on Israel | The Washington Institute
Andrew J. Tabler (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) – Syria and the Hamas Attack: Another Potential Iran-Backed Front? | The Washington Institute
The Global Eye – Secondo Dennis Ross (Foreign Affairs), il 7 ottobre di Israele è come l’11 settembre per Washington – The Global Eye
The Global Eye – Hamas: o la vittoria o il martirio, scrive Matthew Levitt (Foreign Affairs) – The Global Eye
The Global Eye – Secondo Suzanne Maloney, Foreign Affairs, il Medio Oriente deve tornare in cima all’agenda dell’amministrazione USA – The Global Eye
Belarus
Grigory Ioffe (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive del ritorno ciclico della narrazione dell’occidentalizzazione della Bielorussia. L’Autore invita i politici occidentali a non trattare la Bielorussia come una mera estensione della Russia
Grigory Ioffe (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the cyclical return of the narrative of the westernisation of Belarus. The author calls on Western politicians not to treat Belarus as a mere extension of Russia
Will Belarusian Westernizers Recover? – Jamestown
Ecuador
Isabel Chiriboga (Atlantic Council) scrive del ballottaggio per le elezioni presidenziali che si terrà il 15 ottobre. I due candidati, Daniel Noboa e Luisa González, devono affrontare la sfida del malcontento popolare per lo stato attuale del Paese, tormentato da violenza estrema, poche opportunità di lavoro e delusione per le istituzioni democratiche
Isabel Chiriboga (Atlantic Council) writes about the runoff for the presidential elections to be held on 15 October. The two candidates, Daniel Noboa and Luisa González, face the challenge of popular discontent with the current state of the country, plagued by extreme violence, few job opportunities and disillusionment with democratic institutions
Ecuador’s presidential election is a choice between the future and experience – Atlantic Council
EU – Gulf
Cinzia Bianco (European Council on Foreign Relations) scrive che, in vista della COP28, l’Unione Europea ha la possibilità di superare l’impasse sui combustibili fossili e di ottenere progressi significativi impegnandosi con i principali Paesi produttori, come le monarchie del Golfo
Cinzia Bianco (European Council on Foreign Relations) writes that, in the run-up to COP28, the European Union has an opportunity to overcome the fossil fuel impasse and achieve significant progress by engaging with major producer countries, such as the Gulf monarchies
A touch of pragmatism: How Europeans can engage with the Gulf monarchies ahead of COP28 | ECFR
Nagorno Karabakh – Azerbaijan – Armenia
Olga Oliker, Olesya Vartanyan e Zaur Shiriyev (Crisis Group) parlano dell’azione militare dell’Azerbaigian in Karabakh, delle sue ricadute umanitarie e delle prospettive di pace tra Baku e Yerevan
Olga Oliker, Olesya Vartanyan and Zaur Shiriyev (Crisis Group) talk about Azerbaijan’s military action in Karabakh, its humanitarian fallout and the prospects for peace between Baku and Yerevan
Philippines
Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive che il comandante della Joint Task Force Sulu (Filippine), Ignatius Patrimonio, ha ribadito che Sulu è “libera da Abu Sayyaf”. Dopo anni di sforzi, Patrimonio ha lodato la resa di 966 membri di Abu Sayyaf e la consegna di centinaia di armi da fuoco in più di 52 villaggi di Sulu dal 2017
Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) writes that the commander of Joint Task Force Sulu (Philippines), Ignatius Patrimonio, reiterated that Sulu is ‘free of the Abu Sayyaf’. After years of effort, Patrimonio lauded the surrender of 966 Abu Sayyaf members and the surrender of hundreds of firearms in more than 52 Sulu villages since 2017
Poland
Piotr Buras (European Council on Foreign Relations) scrive del significato delle elezioni del 15 ottobre in Polonia
Piotr Buras (European Council on Foreign Relations) writes about the significance of the 15 October elections in Poland
Poland before the election: How to reverse illiberalism | ECFR
Poland – Belarus
Yauheni Preiherman (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive sui rapporti articolati tra Polonia e Bielorussia. Guardando alle elezioni polacche del 15 ottobre
Yauheni Preiherman (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the multifaceted relationship between Poland and Belarus. Looking ahead to the Polish elections on 15 October
Tensions Rise Between Minsk and Warsaw on the Eve of Polish Elections – Jamestown
Russia
Sergey Sukhankin (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive sull’evoluzione del gruppo Wagner. L’Autore segnala tre tendenze: il Gruppo è già diventato una parte de-facto del Ministero della Difesa; il Gruppo ha subito un’importante ristrutturazione e trasformazione interna; è improbabile che l’area geografica operativa del Gruppo Wagner si riduca (molto probabilmente, il continente africano rimarrà il suo obiettivo principale)
Sergey Sukhankin (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the evolution of the Wagner Group. The author points out three trends: the Group has already become a de facto part of the Ministry of Defence; the Group has undergone a major internal restructuring and transformation; the Wagner Group’s geographical area of operation is unlikely to shrink (most likely, the African continent will remain its main focus)
The Wagner Group Evolves After the Death of Prigozhin – Jamestown
Sahel
Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive che, ad agosto, il panorama islamista saheliano ha visto l’ingresso del nuovo gruppo: Wahdat al-Muslimin). Tale gruppo ha invitato i gruppi jihadisti Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS) e Group for Supporters of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) a unirsi contro i loro nemici comuni. Wahdat al-Muslimin vuole che l’ISGS e il JNIM concentrino i loro sforzi sull’esercito maliano e sugli altri eserciti saheliani, nonché sulle varie milizie di autodifesa che si sono allineate con loro
Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) writes that in August, the Sahelian Islamist landscape saw the entry of a new group: Wahdat al-Muslimin). This group invited the jihadist groups Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS) and Group for Supporters of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) to unite against their common enemies. Wahdat al-Muslimin wants ISGS and JNIM to focus their efforts on the Malian army and other Sahelian armies, as well as the various self-defence militias that have aligned with them
Brief: New Jihadist Group Wahdat al-Muslimin Aims to Unite JNIM and ISGS in the Sahel – Jamestown
South Caucasus
Paul Globe (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive dei rischi che vengono dalla regione del Caucaso meridionale, in seguito alla riaffermazione del controllo dell’Azerbaigian sulla regione del Karabakh. Si tratta del Corridoio di Zangezur, stretta striscia di terra all’interno dell’Armenia
Paul Globe (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the risks coming from the South Caucasus region following Azerbaijan’s reassertion of control over the Karabakh region. This is the Zangezur Corridor, a narrow strip of land inside Armenia
Zangezur Emerges From the Shadows as a Dangerous New Hotspot – Jamestown
Syria
Haid Haid (Middle East Institute) scrive che il 26 settembre la Giordania ha intercettato due droni carichi di metanfetamine provenienti dalla Siria. Solo negli ultimi due mesi, Amman ha sventato altri quattro droni, ciascuno carico di un cocktail letale di droga, armi ed esplosivi. Questo aumento evidenzia un’inquietante evoluzione nelle tattiche delle reti di contrabbando che operano nel sud della Siria
Haid Haid (Middle East Institute) writes that on 26 September, Jordan intercepted two methamphetamine-laden drones from Syria. In the past two months alone, Amman has foiled four more drones, each loaded with a lethal cocktail of drugs, weapons, and explosives. This increase highlights a disturbing evolution in the tactics of smuggling networks operating in southern Syria
The soaring threat of drug drones from Syria | Middle East Institute (mei.edu)
Tajikistan – Afghanistan
Nurbek Bekmurzaev (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive a proposito delle tensioni crescenti tra il Tagikistan e l’Afghanistan. Si discute sulla veridicità dei due recenti tentativi di attacco in Tagikistan
Nurbek Bekmurzaev (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the growing tensions between Tajikistan and Afghanistan. The veracity of the two recent attempted attacks in Tajikistan is debated.
Were Jamaat Ansarullo’s Incursions into Tajikistan Real or Staged? – Jamestown
Turkey – Syria
Samer al-Ahmed e Mohammed Hassan (Middle East Institute) scrivono che, dopo un periodo di relativa tranquillità al confine turco-siriano, con sporadici omicidi da parte della Turchia di leader delle Turkey of People’s Protection Units legati al Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), le tensioni si sono intensificate negli ultimi giorni. Le forze turche hanno intensificato gli attacchi contro le Syrian Democratic Forces nel nord-est della Siria e hanno preso di mira i nascondigli del PKK lungo il confine turco-iracheno
Samer al-Ahmed and Mohammed Hassan (Middle East Institute) write that after a period of relative calm on the Turkish-Syrian border, with sporadic killings by Turkey of leaders of the Turkey of People’s Protection Units linked to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), tensions have intensified in recent days. Turkish forces have intensified attacks against the Syrian Democratic Forces in north-east Syria and targeted PKK hideouts along the Turkish-Iraqi border
USA
Elizabeth Kneebone e Alan Berube (Brookings) analizzano l’evoluzione della geografia della povertà in America
Elizabeth Kneebone and Alan Berube (Brookings) analyse the evolution of the geography of poverty in America
Post-pandemic poverty is rising in America’s suburbs | Brookings
War in Ukraine
A marzo, unità apparentemente affiliate alle forze armate ucraine ma composte da cittadini russi, e da altri soggetti, hanno iniziato a fare incursioni armate nelle regioni della Russia lungo il confine con l’Ucraina. Esperti di Crisis Group spiegano chi sono e cosa stanno facendo questi combattenti russi
In March, units ostensibly affiliated with the Ukrainian Armed Forces but composed of Russian citizens and others began making armed incursions into Russian regions along the border with Ukraine. Crisis Group experts explain who these Russian fighters are and what they are doing
The Russians Fighting for Ukraine | Crisis Group
Philip Zelikow e Sam Greene (Council on Foreign Relations) affrontano alcune questioni riguardo alla ricostruzione dell’Ucraina. In particolare: la ricostruzione può iniziare prima della fine di una guerra?; chi paga e da dove dovrebbero iniziare i leader mondiali?
Philip Zelikow and Sam Greene (Council on Foreign Relations) address some questions regarding the reconstruction of Ukraine. In particular: can reconstruction begin before the end of a war; who pays and where should world leaders start?
The Case for Rebuilding Ukraine (cfr.org)
Daily report, Institute for the Study of War (Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, Angelica Evans, Nicole Wolkov, and Mason Clark) – Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 12, 2023 | Institute for the Study of War (understandingwar.org)
Report ‘Russian Regular Ground Forces Oder of Battle’, Institute for the Study of War (Mason Clark, Karolina Hird) – Russian Regular Ground Forces Order of Battle: Russian Military 101 | Institute for the Study of War (understandingwar.org)
Systemic Sustainability (Climate Action)
Climate Action
Karim Elgendy (Middle East Institute) scrive della crescente attenzione globale sulla necessità di ridurre l’utilizzo di fonti fossili. Tra le tensioni geopolitiche, guardando alla COP28 di Dubai
Karim Elgendy (Middle East Institute) writes about the growing global focus on the need to reduce the use of fossil fuels. Amid geopolitical tensions, looking ahead to COP28 in Dubai
In the eye of the storm: The battle over fossil fuels at COP28 | Middle East Institute (mei.edu)
