The recent intensification of pressure on the Iranian regime by Western powers, particularly within influential American circles, suggests the possibility of military intervention aimed at reshaping Iran’s political system, potentially through regime change or the removal and control of its leaders. Initiating a military strike against Iran faces major obstacles, mainly the contradictory stance of the US administration, which has repeatedly emphasized the need to avoid new conflicts in the Middle East. Additionally, regional actors remain deeply concerned about the potential impact of a military clash with Iran on their security and economic stability. The trajectory of the Iranian crisis remains uncertain, with various possible outcomes. These range from the regime successfully containing or managing the current crisis, to a prolonged stalemate reminiscent of the Venezuelan model, or a collapse of the regime that could trigger a political vacuum and widespread internal chaos. Ultimately, the outcome will depend on how various actors influence the US decision-making as Washington weighs its options.
The Threat of a Final Blow: US Approach Toward Iran amid Anti-Regime Protests (Mohammad Alzghool – Emirates Policy Center)
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