Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

The British and French-led Coalition of the Willing and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met in Paris to discuss possible future security guarantees for Ukraine that aim to ensure a just and lasting peace on September 4.
Macron stated that a strong Ukrainian military must be at the center of any postwar security guarantees.
Macron stated that 26 states formally agreed to form a “reassurance force” as part of security guarantees for postwar Ukraine.
The Kremlin continues to explicitly reject any foreign troops on Ukrainian territory as part of postwar security guarantees.
The Coalition of the Willing also outlined ways for states that are unable to deploy ground, sea, or air assets to participate in security guarantees for postwar Ukraine.
The Coalition of the Willing discussed additional sanctions against Russia with US President Donald Trump as part of coordinated Western efforts to deny Russia funding for its war against Ukraine.
Russian bankers continue to express concerns over the increasingly stagnant Russian economy.
Ukrainian forces advanced near Kupyansk and Siversk and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area. Russian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast and near Velykomykhailivka.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 2025 | ISW

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