Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 17, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

Russian forces may be attempting to fix Ukrainian forces within Pokrovsk itself while also encircling Ukrainian forces in the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad pocket from the west, likely because Russian forces have found such an encirclement more feasible than an encirclement from the east.
Russian forces may attempt to use vehicles to transport troops, likely under the cover of fog, in order to speed up the clearing of Pokrovsk itself.
Russia is reportedly continuing to struggle to replace its battlefield losses with new recruits.
Saboteurs recently damaged at least two segments of a Polish railway on a route to Ukraine.
France agreed to sell Ukraine weapons systems, such as fighter jets and air defense systems.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Novopavlivka.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, NOV 17, 2025 | ISW

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