Iranian Sanctions Mitigations: Iran is pursuing alternative mechanisms, which may include barter systems, to mitigate the impact of snapback sanctions. Iran’s moves to mitigate sanctions are probably driven by concerns that sanctions on the Iranian economy will trigger an economic downturn.
Ceasefire in the Gaza Strip: The Hamas-Israel ceasefire in the Gaza Strip is a framework ceasefire agreement and not a comprehensive agreement to end the war.Hamas and Israel continued to hold indirect negotiations on US President Donald Trump’s ceasefire plan in Egypt on October 7, which demonstrates that both sides view the plan as a starting point or framework for further negotiations rather than a comprehensive agreement to end the war
Syrian Democratic Forces and Syrian Government Integration: The United States facilitated a ceasefire between the Syrian government and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) on October 7 after fighting broke out between Syrian government and Kurdish forces in two Kurdish-dominated neighborhoods of Aleppo City. US mediation temporarily halted the brief fighting in Aleppo City, but similar incidents will almost certainly erupt absent further progress from either side towards the SDF’s integration into the Syrian state.
Hezbollah Disarmament: The Lebanese government has continued to take steps to disarm and weaken Hezbollah. The Lebanese Council of Ministers held a cabinet session on October 6 to review the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF)’s first monthly progress report on the implementation of its plan to disarm Hezbollah south of the Litani River in the next three months.
Iran Update, October 7, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)
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