Iraqi Parliamentary Elections: The voter turnout rate was 56 percent in the November 11 Iraqi parliamentary elections, according to Iraq’s electoral commission. Iraqi politicians will likely continue informal government formation negotiations in advance of the Federal Supreme Court’s ratification of election results. CTP-ISW observed three instances of political violence on election day.
Insurgent Activity in Syria: An Alawite insurgent leader called for Alawites to establish an “independent region” along the coast on November 12. The Men of Light do not appear to have the capabilities or support to successfully force the Syrian government to withdraw from the coast at this time.
Iranian Defense Strategy: Iranian officials continue to inspect naval units in the Persian Gulf to secure Iran’s control over the Gulf, likely as part of Iran’s effort to prepare for any potential conflict with the United States or Israel. These inspections suggest that Iranian officials continue to believe renewed war with the United States or Israel is imminent.
Iran Update, November 12, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)
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