Geostrategic magazine (october 23, 2022)

All that is taken up here, in the complexity of open sources, does not necessarily reflect the opinion of The Global Eye

  • (Perspectives – COP27) Saskia van Wees, Australian Institute for International Affairs. The upcoming COP27 climate talks in Egypt come amidst global turmoil. Despite this, the COP27 meetings must achieve meaningful progress with regard to climate finance for lower-income countries that are disproportionately harmed by climate change. Equitable Climate Finance is Key to a Successful COP27
  • (Perspectives – Displaced Populations) Heiner Salomon, Jessica Hagen-Zanker, Overseas Development Institute. At the moment, it is very difficult to gain even a basic understanding of how much support displaced populations – including both refugees/ asylum seekers and internally displaced persons– are receiving in different countries. What can existing microdata tell us about transfer receipt among host and displaced populations?
  • (Perspectives – Private Sector Development & Peace) Alastair McKechnie, Kathryn Nwajiaku-Dahou, Sherillyn Raga, Mark van Dorp, Donata Garrasi, Ben Miller, Leigh Mayhew, Joseph Feyertag, Camilla Sacchetto, Ibifuro Joy Alasia, Overseas Development Institute. There is growing interest in and enthusiasm about the private sector’s role in contributing to peace in situations of conflict, fragility and displacement. Much of this enthusiasm is premised on the assumption that providing more jobs and economic opportunities can reduce the likelihood of war and contribute to peace. MSME-led private sector development in contexts of conflict, fragility and displacement
  • (Perspectives – Protection of Civilians) Victoria Metcalfe-Hough, Overseas Development Institute. According to the United Nations, there are more active armed conflicts today than at any time since the end of the Second World War. The complexity and scale of violence and abuse that civilians in these conflicts face require all relevant actors to use their influence to persuade conflict parties to uphold their obligations under international humanitarian and human rights law to spare civilians from the effects of war. International humanitarian actors have a key role to play as part of the wider collective of protection advocates. But are they playing their part and, more crucially, are they having any impact? If not, why not, and what needs to be done to turn that around? Advocating for the better protection of civilians
  • (Perspectives – Sustainability) David Aronson, International Livestock research Institute. Amid the often-distressing news about climate change, some good news: Existing strategies could mitigate livestock methane emissions by enough to help the sector limit its share of global warming to the 1.5°C target by 2030. Full adoption of existing mitigation strategies can help meet livestock methane reduction targets by 2030

WORLDS

  • (Africa – Europe) Kiel Institute for the World Economy. The new free trade agreement in Africa opens up new opportunities for trade within the continent and also for European and especially German companies. The EU has an opportunity to arrest the decline in its relative importance in African trade compared to China. For this to succeed, however, the EU and European companies should support African countries in implementing the free trade area. Africa’s free trade plans open up new opportunities
  • (Bosnia) Reuters. Bosnia’s election commission (CIK) confirmed preliminary results of Oct. 2 presidential and parliamentary elections on Saturday, showing the dominance of nationalist parties in parliaments at various levels of the Balkan country’s governance. Election commission confirms preliminary results of Bosnia general vote
  • (China) Wanyuan Song, Tessa Wong, BBC. The Chinese Communist Party has finally unveiled the men who will rule China for the next five years. Politburo Standing Committee: Who are the men that rule China now?
  • (China)  and , CNN. Chinese leader Xi Jinping has formally stepped into his third term ruling China with an iron grip on power, breaking with recent precedent to secure another five years in power, as he revealed a top leadership body stacked with loyal allies. China’s Party Congress: Top leaders revealed as Xi Jinping cements grip on power with third term
  • (China) Reuters. China’s Xi Jinping secured a precedent-breaking third leadership term on Sunday and introduced a new Politburo Standing Committee stacked with loyalists, cementing his place as the country’s most powerful ruler since Mao Zedong. Reaction to China’s 20th Communist Party Congress
  • (China) , Reuters. China’s Xi Jinping secured a precedent-breaking third leadership term on Sunday and introduced a new Politburo Standing Committee stacked with loyalists, cementing his place as the country’s most powerful ruler since Mao Zedong. China’s Xi clinches third term, packs leadership team with loyalists
  • (China) Xinhua. Xi Jinping was elected general secretary of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) at the committee’s first plenary session held on Sunday, according to a communique. Xi Jinping elected general secretary of CPC Central Committee: communique
  • (China) Xinhua. At week-long 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC), which concluded on Saturday in Beijing, a blueprint for China’s future development has been mapped out. World Insights: What does the 20th CPC National Congress mean to world economy?
  • (Ethiopia’s Tigray) Crisis Group. A joint Ethiopian-Eritrean offensive has made significant gains in Tigray, marking yet another turn in Ethiopia’s brutal conflict. The risk of large-scale attacks on civilians is high. African and world leaders should take urgent action to prevent an even worse humanitarian catastrophe. A Call to Action: Averting Atrocities in Ethiopia’s Tigray War
  • (Europe) Kacper Szulecki, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. In this policy report, we lay out suggestions for the European Union to prepare for possible cuts in gas supply from Russia in the context of the war in Ukraine. Such cuts will result in physical shortages of gas and so, potentially the need to limit consumption and at worst, rationing of gas. We draw on historical examples of managing demand and consumption, from energy and other policy areas, and suggest steps that can be taken to design an acceptable and efficient gas saving scheme. How to design EU-level contingency plans for gas shortages? Evidence from behavioural economics, policy research and past experience
  • (Europe) Kristin Haugevik, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. This article makes the case for integrating informal, social and minilateral dynamics in analyses of ‘differentiated integration’ in the European Union (EU) context. United clubs of Europe: Informal differentiation and the social ordering of intra-EU diplomacy
  • (Germany – Russia – China) Judy Dempsey, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. As if the German government needed to be reminded of the high price of its dependence on Russia and China. Germany’s Continued Illusions About China and Russia
  • (Indonesia) Sulistiyo Aridyono, East Asia Forum. Indonesian export and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have slowed over the last two decades despite the robust performance of neighbouring Southeast Asian countries. To attract FDI and streamline its regulatory environment, Indonesia enacted the Omnibus Law in November 2020. Indonesia works through employment protection
  • (Iran) Zachary Coles, Kitaneh Fitzpatrick, Dana Alexander Gray, and Nicholas Carl, ISW. Anti-regime protests in Iran occurred in at least 24 cities in 18 provinces on October 22—a significant increase from the protest activity in recent days. Iran Crisis Update, October 22
  • (Iran) Rasanah: International Institute for Iranian Studies. Since 1999, Iran has witnessed successive protest movements, with the latest one erupting  following the death of  Mahsa Amini, a Kurdish woman, on September 16 at the hands of Iran’s morality police in the capital Tehran. She immediately became  an inspiring revolutionary symbol  for various segments of Iranian society. Historical Trajectory of the Protest Movement in Iran
  • (Lebanon – Israel) Rasanah: International Institute for Iranian Studies. The issue of demarcating the southern maritime border between Lebanon and Israel has dominated the domestic scene in both countries. The governments of the two countries announced their approval of the handwritten proposal brought forward by US mediator Amos Hochstein two years after mediation efforts started. The three parties unanimously agreed to call the proposed agreement “historic.” However, the political implications of the agreement vary depending on the respective calculus of each party, though there are shared economic benefits: investing in oil and gas resources, which comes at an appropriate time against the backdrop of the global energy crisis. Calculus of Lebanon-Israel Maritime Border Demarcation Agreement
  • (North Korea) Royal United Services Institute. The international focus is often on the country’s exploitation of technology, yet its embassies and missions also provide a valuable support network for sanctions-busting attempts. RUSI Associate Fellow Daniel Salisbury joins host Aaron Arnold to discuss his forthcoming paper on North Korean diplomats, which explores the various ways in which they facilitate sanctions evasion and procurement efforts. Episode 39: Sanctions Evasion: The Role of North Korean Diplomats
  • (Russia – Ukraine) Katherine Lawlor, Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, Riley Bailey, Angela Howard, and Mason Clark, ISW. Russian forces continued to withdraw from western Kherson Oblast while preparing to conduct delaying actions that will likely be only partially effective. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22
  • (Saudi Arabia)  Robbie Corey-Boulet, Al Monitor. Hundreds of CEOs and finance moguls are expected in Riyadh from Tuesday for a Davos-style investment conference that analysts say will highlight Saudi Arabia’s geopolitical muscle despite strained ties with the US. Growing ‘Davos in the Desert’ a sign of Saudi clout
  • (UK) Al Jazeera. Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak — two of the likely contenders in the race to become the United Kingdom’s next prime minister — have held face-to-face talks, according to media reports. Sunak, Johnson hold talks amid battle for Conservative leadership
  • (UK) Samantha Attridge, Overseas Development Institute. British International Investment (BII) is the United Kingdom’s development finance institution (DFI). It is entirely owned by the UK government and its single shareholder is the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), represented by the Secretary of State for FCDO. The relationship between FCDO and BII has evolved over time and continues to evolve. Over the last few years, there has been a growing appreciation within the UK government of the value of BII as an important channel to achieve not only UK development objectives but also to contribute to geopolitical objectives such as promoting Global Britain. The result has been a rising profile of BII towards achieving broader UK government policy objectives. Donors, implementing agencies and DFI/PDB cooperation – The case of the UK: BII and FCDO
Marco Emanuele
Marco Emanuele è appassionato di cultura della complessità, cultura della tecnologia e relazioni internazionali. Approfondisce il pensiero di Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. Marco ha insegnato Evoluzione della Democrazia e Totalitarismi, è l’editor di The Global Eye e scrive per The Science of Where Magazine. Marco Emanuele is passionate about complexity culture, technology culture and international relations. He delves into the thought of Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. He has taught Evolution of Democracy and Totalitarianisms. Marco is editor of The Global Eye and writes for The Science of Where Magazine.

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