Geostrategic magazine (november 2, 2022)

All that is taken up here, in the complexity of open sources, does not necessarily reflect the opinion of The Global Eye

TOPICS

WORLDS

  • (Australia) , The Strategist. We often think about national resilience at times of crisis or conflict. However, the foundations for resilience are built with every decision we make before a crisis begins to unfold. Resilience is a nation’s ability not only to withstand expected disruptions but also to better position itself for an unknown disruption. Australia needs more than a strategic merchant shipping fleet
  • (China) Reuters. China should “resolutely deal with” and “rectify” whatever is needed to resolve any long-term stability issues in Hong Kong and Macau, a senior official said, according to a 20th Communist Party Congress party supplementary document reading published in October. China says must resolve stability issues in Hong Kong and Macau
  • (China) MERICS. In his report at the 20th party congress , Xi Jinping outlined the success of his previous term in office while also building upon his vision for the future of the People’s Republic. Throughout the report were a wide range of development goals that are familiar to followers of China’s policy agenda. While some of the oft-mentioned goals are simpler to make measurable progress on – issues like administrative reform or support for industrial clusters – other, more structural goals that demand considerable change and upsetting of vested interests also reappeared. Is this time different? The structural economic reform challenges for Xi’s 3rd term
  • (China) , ,The Strategist. The National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, ostensibly the party’s highest leadership body, is not where real power is contested, but is a performative exercise used to legitimise China’s undemocratic leadership. The recent 20th party congress was no different. Who’s who in the new era of Xi Jinping’s China
  • (China – Pakistan) Reuters. China will continue to support Pakistan in stabilising its financial situation, state media quoted China’s President Xi Jinping as saying on Wednesday. China’s Xi says will support Pakistan in stabilising its financial situation
  • (China – Shanghai Cooperation Organization) Xinhua. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Tuesday chaired the 21st meeting of the Council of Heads of Government of Member States of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Beijing and put forward a five-point proposal on promoting SCO cooperation. Chinese premier puts forward five-point proposal on promoting SCO cooperation
  • (China – Vietnam) Global Times. China and Vietnam released a joint statement on further strengthening and deepening the comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership between the two countries on Tuesday, the third day of General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Central Committee Nguyen Phu Trong’s visit to China.  China, Vietnam set key tone for bilateral ties in joint statement
  • (Ecuador) Alexandra Valencia, Reuters. At least five Ecuadorean police officers were killed on Tuesday in explosive attacks in response to prisoner transfers from overcrowded and violent penitentiaries, prompting President Guillermo Lasso to declare a state of emergency in two provinces. Five police killed in Ecuador; state of emergency declared
  • (Europe) , , Reuters. Europe needs its industrial companies to save energy amid soaring costs and shrinking supplies, and they are delivering – demand for natural gas and electricity both fell in the past quarter. Energy crisis chips away at Europe’s industrial might
  • (Germany – China) , Reuters. Chancellor Olaf Scholz makes an inaugural visit to China on Friday that will be closely watched for clues on how serious Germany is about reducing its economic reliance on Asia’s rising superpower and confronting its Communist leadership. Worries over Germany’s China dependency overshadow Scholz trip
  • (Indonesia) Rahul Mishra, Peter Brian M. Wang, The Interpreter. As a nation, Indonesia has a propensity for changing its capital. Over the past three centuries, there has been quite an eventful journey from Batavia (Jakarta), Bandung, and Yogyakarta to Bukittinggi, back to Jakarta, and finally to Nusantara, the proposed new capital of the country. From Jakarta to Nusantara: making sense of Indonesia’s capital shift
  • (Indo – Pacific) Sun Ryung Park, Yves Tiberghien, East Asia Forum. On the eve of the UN-led COP 27 conference in Sharm El Sheikh, the world is already paying the price for climate inaction in the form of unprecedented floods, heat waves and forest fires. But the last few years have witnessed an acceleration in green innovation — the race is on to invent, produce and deploy green technologies on a massive scale. The Indo Pacific’s green industrial policy race
  • (Iran) Nicholas Carl, Zachary Coles, Johanna Moore, and Frederick W. Kagan, Institute for the Study of War. American and Saudi officials have warned of an imminent Iranian attack on Saudi Arabia and possibly Erbil, according to the Wall Street Journal. Iran Crisis Update, November 1
  • (Israel) , Reuters. Israel’s former premier Benjamin Netanyahu was poised to return to power, saying on Wednesday that his right-wing camp was on the cusp of a resounding election win. Netanyahu set for comeback, says on brink of “big” election win
  • (Japan) Gabriele Vogt, Sian Qin, East Asia Forum. On 22 September 2022, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida delivered a speech at the New York Stock Exchange declaring that Japan will relax border control measures and resume visa-free and individual travel for foreigners from 11 October 2022. Kishida’s announcement was surprising for its boldness and timing, since Japan’s reopening had, until then, proceeded incrementally. Japan warily welcomes back international travellers
  • (Kenya – Somalia) Attackers suspected to be members of Somalia’s al Qaeda-linked al Shabaab group have abducted two paramedics, plus a driver and a patient near Kenya’s border with Somalia, police said. Suspected al Shabaab attackers abduct four in Kenya, including paramedics – police
  • (Koreas) Reuters. North Korea fired more than 100 rounds of artillery on Wednesday from its east coast into a military buffer zone established in a military agreement with the South, South Korea’s military said. North Korea fired more than 100 artillery rounds – South military
  • (Koreas) , , Reuters. A North Korean ballistic missile landed less than 60 kilometres off South Korea’s coast on Wednesday, the first time an apparent test had landed near the South’s waters, prompting South Korea to issue rare air raid warnings and launch missiles in protest. North Korean missile lands off South Korean coast for first time; South responds with own launches
  • (Nigeria) Reuters. Nigeria’s NNPC Ltd said on Tuesday Sinopec’s Addax Petroleum Development (Nigeria) Ltd had exited from its four major oil mining blocks in Nigeria and transferred them to the state-owned oil company. China’s Addax exits from four Nigerian oil blocks, NNPC says
  • (Russia) Ksenia Kirillova, The Jamestown Foundation. The Russian authorities have seriously embraced the ideological indoctrination of children through “patriotic propaganda” to guarantee their unwavering loyalty as adults. Meanwhile, psychologists point out that Russian society embraces numerous circumstances in which even those who do not wish to go to war do so anyways. Infantilism and Sacrifice: Why Russians Go to War Even When They Disagree With It
  • (Russia – Iran – South Caucasus) Paul Globe, The Jamestown Foundation. Moscow’s efforts to promote the development of a north-south trade corridor through the Caucasus and to use Iran to circumvent Western sanctions have given Tehran a new and expanded opportunity to take a leading role in the South Caucasus.  Moscow Opens the Way for Iran to Increase Its Influence in the Caucasus
  • (Russia – Ukraine)  Aslan Doukaev, The Jamestown Foundation. Two recent events—the Ukrainian parliament’s October 18 declaration that Chechnya is a Russian-occupied territory and the arrival in Ukraine of a group of Chechen and Syrian war veterans led by Abdulhakim al-Shishani—reflect a significant shift in Kyiv’s policy toward non-Russian minority groups, especially in the North Caucasus. Ukraine’s and Chechnya’s Veteran Anti-Russian Movements Signal Mutual Support
  • (Russia – Ukraine) Kateryna Stepanenko, Riley Bailey, Karolina Hird, Grace Mappes, Madison Williams, Yekaterina Klepanchuk, and Frederick W. Kagan, Institute for the Study of War. Iran plans to send more combat drones and new ballistic missile systems to Russia for use in Ukraine, likely further strengthening Russia’s reliance on Iranian-made weapon systems. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1
  • (Turkey – Russia) Reuters. Russia is concerned about its security and the obstacles it faces exporting fertiliser and grains, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlu Cavusoglu said on Wednesday, days after Moscow suspended its participation in a U.N.-brokered export deal. Turkey says Russia concerned over security, exports in grain deal
  • (UK) Khalid Koser, The Interpreter. Suella Braverman once again became the UK’s Home Secretary, six days after resigning. Braverman remains committed to delivering the Conservative Party’s signature immigration policy of deporting asylum seekers and irregular migrants to Rwanda for processing, asylum, and resettlement. Can the UK stop the boats?
  • (USA) Megan Eckstein, Defense News. The head of the U.S. Navy’s Strategic Systems Programs office is confident the service can field hypersonic weapons on a Zumwalt-class destroyer in 2025 and on a Virginia-class submarine in 2029 despite the significant workload that remains. US Navy touts hypersonic missile progress ahead of 2025 fielding
  • (USA)
  • (USA) Colin Demarest, Defense News. Buying Viasat’s tactical data links business will help realize L3Harris Technologies’ joint all-domain command and control ambitions and will likely push the company up the defense contracting ladder, according to CEO Chris Kubasik. L3Harris CEO says Viasat Link 16 assets are JADC2 ‘accelerant’
  • (USA) CSIS. In September 2022, CISA unveiled its first Strategic Plan, guiding the agency’s efforts for 2023 – 2025. This plan builds on the Strategic Intent released in August 2019, outlining the roadmap for CISA to achieve its mission as the Nation’s cyber defense agency and critical infrastructure security coordinator. It directs four goals defining success for CISA – cyber defense, risk reduction and resilience, operational collaboration, and agency unification. This event will discuss the future of CISA as a leader for cyber and infrastructure security amidst more complex digital and physical threats and provide insights from the agency, the private sector, and the policy arena on the four goals and what they mean to the cybersecurity community. CISA Strategic Plan for 2023-2025: The Future of U.S. Cyber and Infrastructure Security
  • (USA) Chris Miller, Brookings. As the November 2022 election draws near, a few issues have emerged as the ones most likely to drive voters to the polls. At the top of the list, surprising no one who has read the news in the last year, are inflation and abortion. But voters also have their eyes on many other issues, including education, health care, and climate change. The economics of 5 big election issues
  • (USA) Mark MacCarthy, Brookings. In response to the information disorder on social media platforms, governments around the world are imposing transparency requirements in the hopes that they will improve content moderation practices. In the U.S., for instance, a new California law would impose a range of disclosure and openness requirements. In Europe, the recently finalized Digital Services Act is filled almost entirely with transparency requirements. Transparency is essential for effective social media regulation
  • (USA) Victoria BassettiTaylor Redd, and Norman Eisen, Brookings. The “election denial” movement originated in the efforts to overturn the 2020 election. It included false claims about the power of the Vice President and Congress to turn aside presidential electors. Although illegitimate, these claims were facilitated by ambiguities under the almost 150-year-old Electoral Count Act (ECA) that in part governs the roles of Congress and the Vice President.  Election denial and the Electoral Count Act
  • (USA) Gabriel R. Sanchez and Carly Bennett, Brookings. As we approach the November election Americans are overwhelmed with the amount of campaign ads flooding their television and social media feeds. It is estimated that by election day over $9.7 billion will have been spent on campaign ads. Between January 6, 2021, and August 7, 2022, 2 million ads aired on national television alone. Anti-immigrant campaign ads negatively impact Latinos’ mental health and make them feel unwelcome in the United States
  • (USA) Adie Tomer, Brookings. With the signing of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) this August, congressional lawmakers capped a historically productive year when it comes to transportation policy. Two landmark bills—the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) and the IRA—will invest nearly $700 billion in infrastructure, research activities, and related programs that either directly touch the transportation industry or promise to benefit it. Even better, all that federal spending will attract even more commitments from states, localities, and the private sector. Will the infrastructure law and Inflation Reduction Act transform American transportation? It’s complicated
  • (USA) Atlantic Council. The 2022 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), released in tandem with the National Defense Strategy and the Missile Defense Review, is the keynote document reviewing the United States’ nuclear posture. The release of the 2022 NPR comes as the United States faces critical challenges from nuclear-armed adversaries and an aging US nuclear arsenal. The international security environment is deteriorating. Russia’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine has been marked by nuclear threats. In the Indo-Pacific, a growing Chinese nuclear arsenal and possibly changing nuclear strategy poses a concern to US policymakers. Rogue states such as North Korea and now Iran are accelerating their nuclear development, posing a threat to US security. Finally, the US nuclear arsenal is aging, and the trajectory of the current US nuclear modernization plan will influence the ability of the United States to deter strategic threats for decades to come. The future of US nuclear strategy: Releasing the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review
  • (USA – Saudi Arabia – Iran) Steve Holland, Reuters. The United States is concerned about threats from Iran against Saudi Arabia and will not hesitate to respond if necessary, a White House spokesperson said on Tuesday. U.S. concerned about Iranian threats to Saudi Arabia
  • (USA – Taiwan) , , Reuters. U.S. Federal Communications Commissioner Brendan Carr will visit Taiwan this week, the de facto U.S. embassy in Taiwan said on Wednesday, the latest senior official from the country to visit the island. U.S. FCC commissioner to visit Taiwan to discuss cybersecurity, telecoms
  • (USA – Ukraine) Joe Gould, Defense News. The U.S. is aiming to send Ukraine the “Vampire” counter-drone system by mid-2023, with a contract award expected within months, a Pentagon spokesman said Tuesday. Drone-killing Vampires due in Ukraine next year, Pentagon says
Marco Emanuele
Marco Emanuele è appassionato di cultura della complessità, cultura della tecnologia e relazioni internazionali. Approfondisce il pensiero di Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. Marco ha insegnato Evoluzione della Democrazia e Totalitarismi, è l’editor di The Global Eye e scrive per The Science of Where Magazine. Marco Emanuele is passionate about complexity culture, technology culture and international relations. He delves into the thought of Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. He has taught Evolution of Democracy and Totalitarianisms. Marco is editor of The Global Eye and writes for The Science of Where Magazine.

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