Geostrategic magazine (it-en, 15-16 september 2023)

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DAILY FROM GLOBAL THINK TANKS

SYSTEMIC SUSTAINABILITY

CLIMATE IMPACT & ACTION – SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT – SDGs

(1) Per Council on Foreign Relations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, Ambasciatore USA alle Nazioni Unite,  discute gli SDGs e di come USA e Nazioni Unite possano collaborare per la pace e la prosperità

For Council on Foreign Relations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, US Ambassador to the UN, discusses the SDGs and how the US and UN can work together for peace and prosperity

A Vision for Sustainable Development With Linda Thomas-Greenfield | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

(2) A. Michael Spence, Anu Madgavkar e Sven Smit (per Council on Foreign Relations) scrivono di come la transizione energetica debba andare di pari passo con gli sforzi per alleviare la povertà

A. Michael Spence, Anu Madgavkar and Sven Smit (for Council on Foreign Relations) write about how the energy transition must go hand in hand with efforts to alleviate poverty

Action on Planet and People Depends on Growth | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

(3) Abir Ibrahim e Marushia Gislén (per World Economic Forum) scrivino che Africa ed Europa devono collaborare per realizzare la transizione verde. Mentre l’Europa ha bisogno delle materie prime africane, l’Africa può imparare dall’esperienza europea per lo sviluppo economico e istituzionale

Abir Ibrahim and Marushia Gislén (for World Economic Forum) write that Africa and Europe must work together to achieve the green transition. While Europe needs African raw materials, Africa can learn from the European experience for economic and institutional development

How Africa and Europe together can sow the seeds of the green transition | World Economic Forum (weforum.org)

GRAIN DEAL

Andrey Sizov (per Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) scrive che il mancato rinnovo dell’accordo sul grano tra Russia e Ucraina per ora non incide negativamente sui prezzi e sulla sostenibilità alimentare globale. Ma le cose potrebbero cambiare in peggio

Andrey Sizov (for Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) writes that the non-renewal of the grain agreement between Russia and Ukraine does not negatively affect global prices and food sustainability for now. But things could change for the worse

Deal or No Deal, the Calm on the Grain Exports Market Is Deceptive – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

GLOBAL

(1) George Ingram, Bruce Jones, John W. McArthur, Anthony F. Pipa, Amna Qayyum, Danielle Resnick, Landry Signé e Priya Vora (per Brookings) scrivono della prossima Assemblea Generale delle Nazioni Unite: su cosa si concentreranno i leader e le sfide decisive

George Ingram, Bruce Jones, John W. McArthur, Anthony F. Pipa, Amna Qayyum, Danielle Resnick, Landry Signé and Priya Vora (for Brookings) write about the upcoming UN General Assembly: what leaders will focus on and the decisive challenges

Brookings experts on what to watch for at the 2023 UN General Assembly | Brookings

(2) David Sacks (per Council on Foreign Relations) scrive del Corridoio India-Medio Oriente-Europa (IMEC) lanciato al G20 di Delhi. Riuscirà, secondo l’interesse di Washington, a contenere la Belt and Road Initiative di Pechino ? Sacks analizza le criticità di IMEC su finanziamento, tempistica e fattibilità

David Sacks (for Council on Foreign Relations) writes about the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor (IMEC) launched at the G20 in Delhi. Will it succeed, according to Washington’s interest, in containing Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative? Sacks analyses IMEC’s critical issues on financing, timing and feasibility

Will the U.S. Plan to Counter China’s Belt and Road Initiative Work? | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

WORLDS (GEOSTRATEGIES)

AUSTRALIA

(1) Andrew Henderson (per ASPI The Strategist) scrive sull’importanza dell’agricoltura e del cibo per la resilienza e per la sicurezza dell’Australia. Ma, nota l’Autore, questo tema non è considerato nel documento di revisione strategica della difesa

Andrew Henderson (for ASPI The Strategist) writes about the importance of agriculture and food for Australia’s resilience and security. But, the author notes, this issue is not considered in the Strategic Defence Review document

Food is fundamental to Australia’s security | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)

(2) Brendan Nicholson (per ASPI The Strategist) scrive che il generale Angus Campbell, capo delle forze di difesa australiane, ha detto – alla Conferenza ASPI 2023 –  come l’ambiente strategico dell’Australia sia reso molto più difficile da cinque perturbazioni globali, complesse, non lineari e interdipendenti: strategiche, economiche, diplomatiche, climatiche e informatiche

Brendan Nicholson (for ASPI The Strategist) writes that General Angus Campbell, head of the Australian Defence Forces, told – at the ASPI 2023 Conference – how Australia’s strategic environment is made much more difficult by five complex, non-linear and interdependent global disruptions: strategic, economic, diplomatic, climatic and cyber

Protecting Australia from a complex tangle of threats | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)

(3) Connor O’Brien (per Lowy The Interpreter) scrive che l’Australia, data la sua ricchezza di minerali critici e seguendo l’esempio di altri Paesi, dovrebbe plasmare la politica mineraria all’interno e promuovere la transizione verde all’estero

Connor O’Brien (for Lowy The Interpreter) writes that Australia, given its wealth of critical minerals and following the example of other countries, should shape mining policy within and promote the green transition abroad

Critical minerals, critical choices: Australia’s role in shaping the green revolution | Lowy Institute

(4) Abdul Rahman Yaacob (per East Asia Forum) scrive che l’accordo AUKUS, che permette all’Australia di poter acquistare sottomarini a propulsione nucleare, ha un secondo pilastro fondamentale per Canberra: nei settori dell’intelligenza artificiale, dei missili ipersonici, delle capacità sottomarine, del cyberspazio e della guerra elettronica, l’Australia può migliorare le partnership di difesa con i Paesi del Sud Est Asiatico

Abdul Rahman Yaacob (for East Asia Forum) writes that the AUKUS agreement, which allows Australia to be able to purchase nuclear-powered submarines, has a second key pillar for Canberra: in the areas of artificial intelligence, hypersonic missiles, submarine capabilities, cyberspace and electronic warfare, Australia can enhance defence partnerships with South East Asian countries

AUKUS brings more than nuclear submarines to Southeast Asia | East Asia Forum

AZERBAIJAN – NAGORNO KARABAKH

Abigail McGowan (per Council on Foreign Relations) scrive che, pur essendoci segnali positivi da parte dell’Azerbaigian sull’allentamento del blocco di forniture alimentari e mediche all’ enclave di etnia armena del Nagorno-Karabakh, permangono le preoccupazioni per le condizioni in cui versano oltre centomila civili

Abigail McGowan (for Council on Foreign Relations) writes that while there are positive signals from Azerbaijan on the easing of the blockade of food and medical supplies to the ethnic Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh, concerns remain over the conditions of over a hundred thousand civilians

Azerbaijan’s Pressure on Nagorno-Karabakh: What to Know | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

INDIA

Per Council on Foreign Relations, Nirupama Menon Rao, già segretario agli Esteri indiano e già ambasciatore dell’India negli Stati Uniti e in Cina, discute sull’ India e sulla rivalità tra grandi potenze

For Council on Foreign Relations, Nirupama Menon Rao, former Indian foreign secretary and former ambassador of India to the United States and China, discusses India and the rivalry between great powers

Academic Webinar: India and Great-Power Rivalry | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

MALI

Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive della difficile situazione in Mali e delle attività dei gruppi terroristici Group for Supporters of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) e Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS). Secondo Zenn, in considerazione del deteriorarsi dell’instabilità nella regione dell’Africa Occidentale, e a causa del ritiro della Francia dal Mali, JNIM e ISGS continueranno ad assediare altre città in Mali e nei Paesi vicini

Jacob Zenn (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the difficult situation in Mali and the activities of the terrorist groups as Group for Supporters of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) and Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS). According to Zenn, in view of the deteriorating instability in the West African region, and because of France’s withdrawal from Mali, JNIM and ISGS will continue to besiege other cities in Mali and neighbouring countries

Brief: JNIM Consolidates Control Around Gao, Timbuktu – Jamestown

NIGER

Idris Mohammed (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive del colpo di Stato in Niger e che l’Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) dovrebbe impegnarsi in un dialogo costruttivo con la giunta militare nigerina e con Burkina Faso, Mali e Ciad per superare il conflitto e affrontarne le cause

Idris Mohammed (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the coup in Niger and that the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) should engage in constructive dialogue with the Niger military junta and Burkina Faso, Mali and Chad to overcome the conflict and address its causes

Nigerian Concerns Suggest ECOWAS Unlikely to Invade Niger – Jamestown

NORTH AFRICA – ABRAHAM ACCORDS – ISRAEL

Sarah Yerkes (per Carnegie Middle East) scrive delle divisioni tra i Paesi del Nord Africa, con particolare riguardo ai Paesi che non hanno firmato gli Accordi di Abramo (Algeria, Libia e Tunisia) per la normalizzazione con Israele

Sarah Yerkes (for Carnegie Middle East) writes about the divisions between the countries of North Africa, with particular regard to the countries that have not signed the Abraham Agreements (Algeria, Libya and Tunisia) for normalisation with Israel

North Africa Demurs on Normalization With Israel – Carnegie Middle East Center – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (carnegie-mec.org)

NORTH KOREA – RUSSIA

Gabriela Bernal (per Lowy The Interpreter) scrive dell’incontro tra Kim Jong-un e Vladimir Putin. L’Autrice sottolinea i rapporti di scambio tra i due Paesi e le conseguenze geopolitiche, anche guardando all’accordo trilaterale tra USA, Corea del Sud e Giappone

Gabriela Bernal (for Lowy The Interpreter) writes about the meeting between Kim Jong-un and Vladimir Putin. The author emphasises the exchange relationships between the two countries and the geopolitical consequences, also looking at the trilateral agreement between the US, South Korea and Japan

North Korea undeterred – to Putin’s pleasure | Lowy Institute

PAKISTAN

Osama Ahmad (per The Jamestown Foundation) scrive dei crescenti attacchi dell’ Islamic State in Khorasan Province (ISKP) contro i partiti religiosi in Pakistan. Secondo Ahmad, l’ISKP punta all’istituzione di un califfato, antitetico all’attuale regime. L’ISKP intende conquistare gli  elementi radicali dei partiti islamici pakistani alla propria causa e indurre gli elementi meno radicali a non partecipare alle elezioni

Osama Ahmad (for The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the growing attacks of the Islamic State in Khorasan Province (ISKP) against religious parties in Pakistan. According to Ahmad, the ISKP aims at the establishment of a caliphate, antithetical to the current regime. The ISKP intends to win the radical elements of Pakistan’s Islamic parties to its cause and induce the less radical elements not to participate in the elections

ISKP Attacks Pakistan’s Religious Political Parties for Participating in Elections – Jamestown

SLOVAKIA

Alena Kudzko (per Carnegie Europe) scrive che le elezioni del 30 settembre in Slovacchia potrebbero portare al potere una coalizione pro-Russia. Ciò contribuirebbe a modificare i rapporti di forza a livello europeo, creando difficoltà alla politica estera continentale

Alena Kudzko (for Carnegie Europe) writes that the 30 September elections in Slovakia could bring a pro-Russian coalition to power. This would contribute to changing the balance of power at the European level, creating difficulties for continental foreign policy

The Slovak Election and Its Ramifications for European Foreign Policy – Carnegie Europe – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

SOMALIA

Daniele Garofalo (per The Jamestown Foundation) scrive dell’evoluzione di Islamic State in Somalia. Pur dopo la morte di al-Soudani, occorre prestare attenzione all’evoluzione del gruppo che, non essendo paragonabile ad al-Shabaab per potenza militare e per propaganda, sta compiendo sforzi per il reclutamento, la costruzione di sostegno e l’ottenimento di finanziamenti lavorando con etiopi, kenioti ed eritrei

Daniele Garofalo (for The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the evolution of Islamic State in Somalia. Even after the death of al-Soudani, attention must be paid to the evolution of the group that, not being comparable to al-Shabaab in terms of military power and propaganda, is making efforts to recruit, build support and obtain funding by working with Ethiopians, Kenyans and Eritreans

Islamic State in Somalia Province: Before and After the Death of Bilal al-Sudani – Jamestown

USA

Samantha Gross (per Brookings) scrive che, per ridurre le emissioni di gas serra dell’industria petrolifera americana, il modo migliore sia di ridurre la domanda anziché concentrarsi sulla riduzione della produzione nazionale di petrolio

Samantha Gross (for Brookings) writes that the best way to reduce the US oil industry’s greenhouse gas emissions is to reduce demand instead of focusing on reducing domestic oil production

Reducing US oil demand, not production, is the way forward for the climate | Brookings

USA – UKRAINE

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff e Josh Rudolph (per GMF) scrivono della nomina di Penny Pritzker a rappresentante speciale degli Stati Uniti per la ripresa economica dell’Ucraina

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff and Josh Rudolph (for GMF) write about the appointment of Penny Pritzker as US special representative for Ukraine’s economic recovery

The US Gets a Special Representative for Ukraine’s Economic Recovery | German Marshall Fund of the United States (gmfus.org)

Marco Emanuele
Marco Emanuele è appassionato di cultura della complessità, cultura della tecnologia e relazioni internazionali. Approfondisce il pensiero di Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. Marco ha insegnato Evoluzione della Democrazia e Totalitarismi, è l’editor di The Global Eye e scrive per The Science of Where Magazine. Marco Emanuele is passionate about complexity culture, technology culture and international relations. He delves into the thought of Hannah Arendt, Edgar Morin, Raimon Panikkar. He has taught Evolution of Democracy and Totalitarianisms. Marco is editor of The Global Eye and writes for The Science of Where Magazine.

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