Diplomacy alone won’t end Russia’s war

(Tennyson Dearing – ASPI The Strategist) Peace talks began slowly at first, then all at once. But a durable peace will require changing Russia’s calculus, not Ukraine’s. A year ago, Kyiv was awash with hope that Russia’s war might finally be brought to an end. This year, the mood is more sober. Almost nothing has changed, and that is the problem. Ukraine wants peace. Russia wants Ukraine. And beyond the battlefield, too little pressure is being applied to shift the calculus. Ukraine is now preparing for two futures: a diplomatic end to the war and a more active, long-term defence. What happens next will depend on whether diplomacy is backed by credible deterrence. – Diplomacy alone won’t end Russia’s war | The Strategist