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AI and the Future of Disinformation Campaigns. Part 2: A Threat Model (Katerina Sedova, Christine McNeill Aurora Johnson Aditi Joshi, Ido Wulkan, CSET)

Artificial intelligence offers enormous promise to advance progress and powerful capabilities to disrupt it. This policy brief is the second installment of a series...

AI and the Future of Disinformation Campaigns. Part 1: The RICHDATA Framework (Katerina Sedova, Christine McNeill Aurora Johnson Aditi Joshi, Ido Wulkan, CSET)

Artificial intelligence offers enormous promise to advance progress, and powerful capabilities to disrupt it. This policy brief is the first installment of a series...

Key Concepts in AI Safety: Specification in Machine Learning (Tim G. J. Rudner, Helen Toner, CSET)

This paper is the fourth installment in a series on “AI safety,” an area of machine learning research that aims to identify causes of...

Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement. Case Study: Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship (Michael Page, CSET)

How can state-of-the-art probabilistic forecasting tools be used to advance expert debates on big policy questions? Using Foretell, a crowd forecasting platform piloted by...

Measuring AI Development. A Prototype Methodology to Inform Policy (Jack Clark, Kyle Miller, Rebecca Gelles, CSET)

By combining a versatile and frequently updated bibliometrics tool — the CSET Map of Science — with more hands-on analyses of technical developments, this...

AI for Judges (Jamie Baker, Laurie Hobart, Matthew Mittelsteadt, CSET)

As artificial intelligence transforms the economy and American society, it will also transform the practice of law and the role of courts in regulating...

Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Makes Defiant Stand In New Year’s Address (RFE RL)

In his annual New Year's message broadcast late on December 31, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed defiance amid a buildup of Russian forces on...

Despite Russia Tensions, U.S. Supports Extending ISS Operations Through 2030 (RFE RL)

Despite increasing tensions with Russia, the Biden administration supports extending the operations of the International Space Station (ISS) through 2030, NASA Administrator Bill Nelson...

Germany Pulls Plan To Honor Israeli Holocaust Historian Over Srebrenica Comments (RFE RL)

The German government has scrapped plans to award the country’s highest honor to an Israeli Holocaust historian due criticism about his work on genocide...

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