Threat of Baloch Militant Groups to Iranian Regime Security: The newly established Mobarizoun Popular Front, which is a coalition of Baloch organizations, released a video on December 11 in which it called on Iranians to engage in protest activities against the Iranian regime.
ISIS Activity in Syria: Syrian security forces detained a cell of Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) fighters in northern Idlib Province that has conducted at least three attacks targeting Syrian government forces along the M5 highway since November 28. This cell may have been operating in the southern Aleppo-northern Idlib countryside for some time, but its three most recent attacks are part of an increase in ISIS attacks targeting Syrian government forces since Syria joined the Global Coalition on November 10.
Hezbollah Reconstitution: The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) assessed that Hezbollah has likely not reconstituted its military capabilities and weapons stockpiles to the point that the group could conduct a large-scale attack on Israel at this time. The IDF did not specify whether its assessment only evaluated Hezbollah’s ability to conduct a large-scale attack against Israel from southern Lebanon or from any part of Lebanon.
Iran Update, December 16, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)
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