After three years of war, Ukraine faces new challenges in the era of strategic chaos marked by Trump 2.0. What are its choices?
The context is the following:
- As long as Vladimir Putin is alive, this war is likely to continue. Putin is only 72 years old. He is in good health, exercises daily, drinks moderately, if at all, and comes from a family with a history of longevity: both his father and his grandfather died in the second half of their 80s.
- Russia’s economy can sustain the war effort. Economic problems are unlikely to “prompt the Kremlin to rein in its ambitions in Ukraine … Russia will be able to generate the necessary economic resources to sustain enough military power to wage war in Ukraine.”
- The United States might not support Ukraine in the future.
- Negotiations are unlikely to end this war in the current configuration.
A new theory of victory: How Ukraine can fortify and prosper in the age of Trump | Lowy Institute
