Iran Update, November 17, 2025 (Institute for the Study of War)

Iraqi Parliamentary Elections: Iraq’s electoral commission, the Independent High Electoral Commission, released the final results and associated seat allocations from the November 11 Iraqi parliamentary elections on November 17. The Iraqi Federal Supreme Court must ratify the results before the government formation process can formally begin.
Iraqi Parliamentary Elections: The Shia Coordination Framework is debating whether to include Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al Sudani in the next Iraqi government, amid reports that Sudani may ally with Sunni and Kurdish political parties.
Tanker Seizure in the Strait of Hormuz: Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC)-affiliated media claimed on November 15 that the IRGC Navy seized the Marshall Islands-flagged Talara tanker because it was attempting to illegally export Iranian cargo. This claim likely seeks to obfuscate the real reason why the IRGC Navy seized the vessel and may be part of an Iranian effort to prevent any retaliation for the seizure.
Syrian-Russian Relations: A Russian and Turkish military delegation toured former Russian military sites near United Nations Disengagement Observer Force positions located along the Syrian border with the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights on November 17. The Russian and Turkish delegation’s tour may be related to previous discussions between Syria and Russia about establishing a Russian military presence in southern Syria.

Iran Update, November 17, 2025 | ISW

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