The government of Abiy Ahmed demonstrated strategic patience in addressing the evolving situation in the Tigray region. It has approved key amendments to laws governing the federal intervention in the region’s local affairs, enabling the extension of the interim administration’s term for an additional year and facilitating the appointment of a new president for this administration. The future of Tigray – including its efforts to reorganize power and renew political and security structures – depends on the ability of key elites in Mekelle and Addis Ababa to navigate shifting dynamics, enhance critical aspects of the peace process and advance the implementation of the Pretoria Agreement. The toughest challenge for Tigray’s interim administration is its ability to develop a unified and coherent strategy to advance an ideological assessment and internal reform of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Successfully aligning political objectives with the central priorities of the Ethiopian state and the urgent needs of the Tigrayan people will be critical for long-term stability.
Reorganizing Power in Tigray Region: Likely Implications for Peace and Conflict Dynamics in Ethiopia (Emirates Policy Center)
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