Ricerca per un ‘bussola geostrategica’ – Search for a ‘geostrategic compass’ – Recherche d’une “boussole géostratégique”
Il mondo come un mosaico
Scrivevamo della responsabilità culturale come necessità di ricongiungerci nella realtà attraverso un pensiero complesso.
Si tratta, nel cambio di era che stiamo vivendo, di trasformare radicalmente il nostro approccio e di ritornare a conoscere, con-naitre, rinascere insieme nella realtà. Detta così, ben si comprende come la conoscenza non sia solo informazione su ciò che accade: c’è ben altro, di molto profondo.
C’è l’idea che il mondo vada osservato e compreso come un mosaico, insieme inestricabile di dinamiche inseparabili l’una dall’altra: lungi dall’essere solo un’attitudine culturale, si tratta di un’opzione profondamente politica perché attiene alla capacità di governare un pianeta, Terra-patria, dalla crescente complessità.
Ogni dinamica contribuisce contemporaneamente all’evoluzione-involuzione sistemica. Da qualunque parte osserviamo il mosaico, ci rendiamo conto che il centro riguarda soltanto la ridefinizione dei rapporti di potere, ciò che definiamo lo sguardo dall’alto. Se, invece, andiamo nel profondo, ci rendiamo conto che la vita si sviluppa nelle periferie esistenziali, nei tanti nodi che sono vincolati l’uno nell’altro. Per questa ragione non possiamo dire che il destino degli ‘altri’ non ci riguarda così come ogni guerra – anche lontana territorialmente – ci appartiene e anche ogni fenomeno di degradazione dell’ambiente. E molto altro.
Ciascuno di noi, in sostanza, ha una responsabilità sistemica ed è tenuto ad avere cura del mondo-mosaico. Quando parliamo di responsabilità personale stiamo ragionando di una persona-mondo, soggetto storico, non dell’individuo autoreferenziale: capire il mosaico-mondo significa capire il mosaico che è ciascuno di noi, sintesi continua di una complessità più ampia del nostro ‘particolare’. E’ tempo di operare una metànoia radicale, di prendere atto che da lì passa il cammino complesso per la sostenibilità politico-strategica del mondo e dei mondi.
(english version)
The world as a mosaic
We were writing about cultural responsibility as the need to reconnect with reality through complex thinking.
It is a question, in the changing era we are living through, of radically transforming our approach and returning to knowledge, con-naitre, being reborn together in reality. Put like that, it is easy to understand how knowledge is not just information about what is happening: there is something else, something very profound.
There is the idea that the world should be observed and understood as a mosaic, an inextricable set of dynamics that are inseparable from one another: far from being merely a cultural attitude, it is a profoundly political option because it relates to the ability to govern a planet, Earth as common house, of growing complexity.
Each dynamic contributes simultaneously to systemic evolution-involution. Whichever way we look at the mosaic, we realise that the centre only concerns the redefinition of power relations, what we call the view from above. If, on the other hand, we go into the depths, we realise that life unfolds in the existential peripheries, in the many nodes that are bound up in each other. For this reason, we cannot say that the fate of ‘others’ does not concern us, just as every war – even those far away territorially – belongs to us, and also every phenomenon of environmental degradation. And much more.
Each of us, in essence, has a systemic responsibility and is bound to care for the world-mosaic. When we speak of personal responsibility, we are talking about a person-world, a historical subject, not the self-referential individual: understanding the world-mosaic means understanding the mosaic that is each one of us, a continuous synthesis of a complexity that is broader than our ‘particular’. It is time to operate a radical ‘metànoia’, to realise that the complex path to the political-strategic sustainability of the world and worlds passes from there.
(version française)
Le monde comme une mosaïque
Nous parlions de la responsabilité culturelle comme de la nécessité de se reconnecter à la réalité par une pensée complexe.
Il s’agit, dans l’ère de changement que nous vivons, de transformer radicalement notre approche et de revenir à la connaissance, con-naitre, renaître ensemble dans la réalité. Ainsi formulé, on comprend que la connaissance n’est pas seulement une information sur ce qui se passe : il y a autre chose, quelque chose de très profond.
Il y a l’idée que le monde doit être observé et compris comme une mosaïque, un ensemble inextricable de dynamiques inséparables les unes des autres : loin d’être une simple attitude culturelle, c’est une option profondément politique parce qu’elle concerne la capacité à gouverner une planète, Terre-patrie, d’une complexité croissante.
Chaque dynamique contribue simultanément à l’évolution-involution systémique. Quel que soit le regard que l’on porte sur la mosaïque, on s’aperçoit que le centre ne concerne que la redéfinition des rapports de force, ce que l’on appelle la vue d’en haut. Si, en revanche, nous allons en profondeur, nous nous rendons compte que la vie se déroule dans les périphéries existentielles, dans les nombreux nœuds qui sont liés les uns aux autres. C’est pourquoi nous ne pouvons pas dire que le sort des “autres” ne nous concerne pas, de même que toute guerre – même éloignée territorialement – nous appartient, de même que tout phénomène de dégradation de l’environnement. Et bien d’autres choses encore.
Chacun d’entre nous, par essence, a une responsabilité systémique et est tenu de prendre soin de la mosaïque mondiale. Lorsque nous parlons de responsabilité personnelle, nous parlons d’une personne-monde, d’un sujet historique, et non d’un individu autoréférentiel : comprendre la mosaïque-monde signifie comprendre la mosaïque qu’est chacun d’entre nous, une synthèse continue d’une complexité qui est plus large que notre “particulier”. Il est temps d’opérer une ‘metànoia’ radicale, de réaliser que le chemin complexe vers la durabilité politico-stratégique du monde et des mondes passe par là.
Prospettive dai think tank – Perspectives from think tanks – Perspectives des think tanks
Worlds
Armenia – Azerbaijan
Vasif Huseynov (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive dei buoni risultati raggiunti nei diversi colloqui di pace e sottolinea la complessità del percorso per una pace sostenibile nell’area del Caucaso meridionale – Vasif Huseynov (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the good results achieved in the various peace talks and emphasises the complexity of the path to sustainable peace in the South Caucasus area – Vasif Huseynov (The Jamestown Foundation) parle des bons résultats obtenus dans les différents pourparlers de paix et souligne la complexité du chemin vers une paix durable dans la région du Caucase du Sud – Dynamics Intensify in Armenian-Azerbaijani Peace Talks – Jamestown
Australia
David Malone e John Coyne (The Strategist) scrivono dei necessari investimenti infrastrutturali per la Difesa australiana nel nord del Paese – David Malone and John Coyne (The Strategist) write about Australia’s much-needed defence infrastructure investment in the North – David Malone et John Coyne (The Strategist) écrivent sur l’investissement de l’Australie dans l’infrastructure de défense au Nord – Defence needs a fresh approach to major projects in Australia’s north | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)
Australia – Wagner Group
Isabella Currie e Matthew Sussex (The Interpreter) scrivono sul fatto che l’Australia inserisca il Gruppo Wagner tra le organizzazioni terroristiche – Isabella Currie and Matthew Sussex (The Interpreter) write about Australia listing the Wagner Group as a terrorist organisation – Isabella Currie et Matthew Sussex (The Interpreter) écrivent à propos de l’inscription par l’Australie du groupe Wagner sur la liste des organisations terroristes – It’s time Australia branded Russia’s Wagner Group a terrorist organisation | Lowy Institute
Belarus – Russia
Hlib Parfonov (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive del possibile posizionamento di armi nucleari russe sul territorio bielorusso. Intanto, la questione è usata da Mosca per ostacolare gli aiuti occidentali a Kiev e ampliare la possibilità per le forze russe di rafforzarsi in vista dell’annunciata controffensiva ucraina – Hlib Parfonov (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the possible placement of Russian nuclear weapons on Belarusian territory. Meanwhile, the issue is being used by Moscow to obstruct Western aid to Kiev and expand the possibility for Russian forces to reinforce themselves in view of the announced Ukrainian counteroffensive – Hlib Parfonov (The Jamestown Foundation) évoque la possibilité de placer des armes nucléaires russes sur le territoire biélorusse. En attendant, Moscou utilise cette question pour faire obstacle à l’aide occidentale à Kiev et élargir la possibilité pour les forces russes de se renforcer en vue de la contre-offensive ukrainienne annoncée – The Nuclear Angle in Belarus – Jamestown
China – Central Asia
Willy Wo-Lap Lam (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive del rapporto in crescendo tra Pechino e i Paesi dell’Asia Centrale – Willy Wo-Lap Lam (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about the growing relationship between Beijing and Central Asian countries – Willy Wo-Lap Lam (The Jamestown Foundation) écrit sur les relations croissantes entre Pékin et les pays d’Asie centrale – A Tale of Two Summits: G7 Displays Unity as China Courts Central Asia – Jamestown
India – G20 – Global South
Parama Sinha Palit (The Interpreter) scrive dell’occasione del G20 per l’afffermazione dell’India come leader del Sud globale – Parama Sinha Palit (The Interpreter) writes of the G20 occasion for India’s affirmation as leader of the global South – Parama Sinha Palit (The Interpreter) écrit sur l’occasion du G20 pour l’affirmation de l’Inde en tant que leader du Sud mondial – A G20 presidency to build Brand India as a champion of the Global South | Lowy Institute
India – Papua New Guinea – Pacific
Joanne Wallis e Premesha Saha (The Strategist) scrivono della visita di Modi in Papua Nuova Guinea e del ruolo di New Delhi nella regione del Pacifico – Joanne Wallis and Premesha Saha (The Strategist) write about Modi’s visit to Papua New Guinea and New Delhi’s role in the Pacific region – Joanne Wallis et Premesha Saha (The Strategist) évoquent la visite de Modi en Papouasie-Nouvelle-Guinée et le rôle de New Delhi dans la région du Pacifique – Modi in Papua New Guinea: leader of the global south or Quad partner? | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)
Indonesia – ASEAN
Leonard C Sebastian e James Guild (East Asia Forum) scrivono della presidenza dell’ASEAN da parte dell’Indonesia e delle differenze rispetto alla presidenza del G20 – Leonard C Sebastian and James Guild (East Asia Forum) write about Indonesia’s chairmanship of ASEAN and the differences from the G20 chairmanship – Leonard C. Sebastian et James Guild (East Asia Forum) écrivent sur la présidence indonésienne de l’ASEAN et les différences avec la présidence du G20 – Steering the G20 and ASEAN the bebas aktif way | East Asia Forum
Iran
Nadeem Ahmed Moonakal (The Interpreter) scrive dei rapporti crescenti di Teheran con la Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. Alla ricerca di nuovi mercati – Nadeem Ahmed Moonakal (The Interpreter) writes about Tehran’s growing relationship with the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. In search of new markets – Nadeem Ahmed Moonakal (The Interpreter) évoque les relations de plus en plus étroites entre Téhéran et la Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. À la recherche de nouveaux marchés – Even under sanctions, Iran is expanding a network of friends | Lowy Institute
Israel
Richard N. Haass (The Strategist) scrive dei 75 anni di Israele e delle sfide nel suo futuro – Richard N. Haass (The Strategist) writes about Israel’s 75 years and the challenges in its future – Richard N. Haass (The Strategist) écrit sur les 75 ans d’Israël et les défis de son avenir – Israel at 75 | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)
Koreas
Khang X. Vu (The Interpreter) scrive dell’evoluzione nucleare di Pyongyang. Prossimo obiettivo: dividere USA e Corea del Sud – Khang X. Vu (The Interpreter) writes about Pyongyang’s nuclear evolution. Next goal: to split the US and South Korea – Khang X. Vu (The Interpreter) écrit sur l’évolution nucléaire de Pyongyang. Prochain objectif : diviser les États-Unis et la Corée du Sud – North Korea/South Korea: Who’s threatening who? | Lowy Institute
Middle East
Jon B. Alterman (CSIS) scrive delle sfide per i governi fragili del Medio Oriente – Jon B. Alterman (CSIS) writes about the challenges for fragile governments in the Middle East – Jon B. Alterman (CSIS) écrit sur les défis auxquels sont confrontés les gouvernements fragiles au Moyen-Orient – Five Factors Mean the Middle East Is Not Back to Normal (csis.org)
Nagorno – Karabakh
Crisis Group segnala il rischio di gravi violenze nel Nagorno-Karabakh – Crisis Group warns of risk of serious violence in Nagorno-Karabakh – Crisis Group met en garde contre le risque de violences graves dans le Nagorno-Karabakh – New Troubles in Nagorno-Karabakh: Understanding the Lachin Corridor Crisis | Crisis Group
QUAD
Teesta Prakash and Gatra Priyandita (The Strategist) scrivono della necessità che il QUAD si definisca in positivo e non solo in funzione anti-cinese – Teesta Prakash and Gatra Priyandita (The Strategist) write about the need for QUAD to define itself positively and not only as anti-Chinese – Teesta Prakash et Gatra Priyandita (The Strategist) écrivent sur la nécessité pour le QUAD de se définir de manière positive et pas seulement comme anti-chinois – How the Quad can become more than an anti-China grouping | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)
Russia – Central Asia
Marsel Salikhov (Valdai Discussion Club) scrive dell’importanza crescente, in molti settori, dei rapporti tra Russia e Paesi dell’Asia Centrale – Marsel Salikhov (Valdai Discussion Club) writes about the growing importance, in many areas, of relations between Russia and Central Asian countries – Marsel Salikhov (Valdai Discussion Club) écrit sur l’importance croissante, dans de nombreux domaines, des relations entre la Russie et les pays d’Asie centrale – The Role of Russia and Central Asia in the New World Economy — Valdai Club
Russia – Circassian population
Paul Globe (The Jamestown Foundation) scrive delle crescenti difficoltà di Mosca nel contrastare il movimento della popolazione circassa – Paul Globe (The Jamestown Foundation) writes of Moscow’s growing difficulties in countering the Circassian population movement – Paul Globe (The Jamestown Foundation) écrit sur les difficultés croissantes de Moscou à contrer le mouvement de la population circassienne – Moscow Faces Increased Difficulties in Countering Circassian National Movement – Jamestown
USA
James Curran (East Asia Forum) scrive dell’evoluzione delle scelte geoeconomiche di Washington – James Curran (East Asia Forum) writes about the evolution of Washington’s geo-economic choices – James Curran (East Asia Forum) écrit sur l’évolution des choix géoéconomiques de Washington – Sullivan’s speech sounds US retreat from free trade over China | East Asia Forum
USA – Canada – Mexico
Ryan C. Berg , Christopher Hernandez-Roy , Juliana Rubio , Rubi Bledsoe e Henry Ziemer (CSIS) scrivono della prima North American Semiconductor Conference svoltasi il 18 e 19 maggio a Washington tra i rappresentanti di USA, Canada e Messico – Ryan C. Berg , Christopher Hernandez-Roy , Juliana Rubio , Rubi Bledsoe and Henry Ziemer (CSIS) write about the first North American Semiconductor Conference held on 18 and 19 May in Washington between representatives from the USA, Canada and Mexico – Ryan C. Berg , Christopher Hernandez-Roy , Juliana Rubio , Rubi Bledsoe et Henry Ziemer (CSIS) écrivent sur la première North American Semiconductor Conference qui s’est tenue les 18 et 19 mai à Washington entre des représentants des États-Unis, du Canada et du Mexique – Can North America Become a Semiconductor Powerhouse? (csis.org)
USA – China
Ryan Hass (Brookings) scrive del rapporto complesso, ma necessario, tra Washington e Pechino – Ryan Hass (Brookings) writes about the complex but necessary relationship between Washington and Beijing – Ryan Hass (Brookings) écrit sur la relation complexe mais nécessaire entre Washington et Pékin – How Biden could “thaw” US relations with China (brookings.edu)
War in Ukraine
Amy J. Nelson e Alexander H. Montgomery (Brookings) sfatano il mito delle armi ipersoniche russe – Amy J. Nelson and Alexander H. Montgomery (Brookings) debunk the myth of Russian hypersonic weapons – Amy J. Nelson et Alexander H. Montgomery (Brookings) démontent le mythe des armes hypersoniques russes – Ukraine and the Kinzhal: Don’t believe the hypersonic hype (brookings.edu)
Topics
Climate action
Nate Warszawski, Maria Lemos González, Chikondi Thangata, Preety Bhandari e Molly Bergen (World Resources Institute) scrivono dell’importanza della giustizia climatica e dell’equità nei negoziati internazionali sul clima – Nate Warszawski, Maria Lemos González, Chikondi Thangata, Preety Bhandari and Molly Bergen (World Resources Institute) write about the importance of climate justice and equity in international climate negotiations – Nate Warszawski, Maria Lemos González, Chikondi Thangata, Preety Bhandari et Molly Bergen (World Resources Institute) écrivent sur l’importance de la justice climatique et de l’équité dans les négociations internationales sur le climat – 4 Actions Vulnerable Countries Need from COP28 | World Resources Institute (wri.org)
Paige Langer e Frances Seymour (World Resources Institute) scrivono della salvaguardia delle foreste e della possibilità per le aziende di accedere al mercato volontario del carbonio – Paige Langer and Frances Seymour (World Resources Institute) write about forest conservation and the possibility for companies to access the voluntary carbon market – Paige Langer et Frances Seymour (World Resources Institute) écrivent sur la conservation des forêts et la possibilité pour les entreprises d’accéder au marché volontaire du carbone – How Companies Can Use Voluntary Carbon Markets to Protect Tropical Forests | World Resources Institute (wri.org)
Energy security
Rachel Brasier, Andrea Pescatori, Martin Stuermer (IMF blog) scrivono di superare la frammentazione del mercato globale del gas per migliorare la sicurezza energetica – Rachel Brasier, Andrea Pescatori, Martin Stuermer (IMF blog) write about overcoming global gas market fragmentation to improve energy security – Rachel Brasier, Andrea Pescatori, Martin Stuermer (IMF blog) écrivent sur la façon de surmonter la fragmentation du marché mondial du gaz pour améliorer la sécurité énergétique – How Natural Gas Market Integration Can Help Increase Energy Security (imf.org)
Global trade
Dal Kiel Institute, l’ultimo aggiornamento sull’evoluzione del commercio mondiale – From the Kiel Institute, the latest update on world trade developments – Le Kiel Institute fait le point sur l’évolution du commerce mondial – Kiel Trade Indicator | Kiel Institute (ifw-kiel.de)
G7
Hannah Grothusen , Matthew P. Goodman , Christopher B. Johnstone e Federico Steinberg (CSIS) commentano i risultati del G7 di Hiroshima – Hannah Grothusen , Matthew P. Goodman , Christopher B. Johnstone and Federico Steinberg (CSIS) comment on the results of the G7 in Hiroshima – Hannah Grothusen , Matthew P. Goodman , Christopher B. Johnstone et Federico Steinberg (CSIS) commentent les résultats du G7 à Hiroshima – G7 Hiroshima Summit Outcomes (csis.org)
Migration
Khalid Koser (The Interpreter) scrive della tendenza crescente ai respingimenti dei richiedenti asilo – Khalid Koser (The Interpreter) writes about the growing trend of asylum seeker rejections – Khalid Koser (The Interpreter) écrit sur la tendance croissante au rejet des demandes d’asile – By default not design: the end of the asylum consensus | Lowy Institute
Multipolar world
Emanuele Pietrobon (Valdai Discussion Club), partendo dall’accordo di scambio valutario recentemente concluso tra Brasile e Cina, approfondisce la questione valutaria globale nel contesto di un mondo sempre più multipolare – Emanuele Pietrobon (Valdai Discussion Club), starting with the recently concluded currency exchange agreement between Brazil and China, explores the global currency issue in the context of an increasingly multipolar world – Emanuele Pietrobon (Valdai Discussion Club), partant de l’accord d’échange de devises récemment conclu entre le Brésil et la Chine, explore la question de la monnaie mondiale dans le contexte d’un monde de plus en plus multipolaire – The Day After the Dollar — Valdai Club
Subsea cables
Aishwarya Acharya (The Interpreter) scrive dell’importanza geostrategica dei cavi sottomarini, responsabili di circa il 97% dei flussi di dati e informazioni che si traducono in comunicazioni transcontinentali. Urge un quadro giuridico internazionale – Aishwarya Acharya (The Interpreter) writes about the geostrategic importance of submarine cables, which are responsible for some 97 per cent of the data and information flows that result in transcontinental communications. An international legal framework is urgently needed – Aishwarya Acharya (The Interpreter) évoque l’importance géostratégique des câbles sous-marins, qui sont à l’origine d’environ 97 % des flux de données et d’informations résultant des communications transcontinentales. Un cadre juridique international est nécessaire – The Quad needs to talk security for subsea cables | Lowy Institute
War in cities
David Tuck (The Strategist) scrive delle guerre combattute negli ambienti urbani – David Tuck (The Strategist) writes about wars fought in urban environments – David Tuck (The Strategist) écrit sur les guerres menées en milieu urbain – When wars are fought in cities, nobody wins | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)
