LABORATORIO DI RICERCA COMPLESSA / COMPLEX RESEARCH LABORATORY
Daily from global think tanks
(the analyzes here recalled do not necessarily correspond to the geostrategic thinking of The Global Eye)
Artificial Intelligence
Noah Berman (Council on Foreign Relations) writes that artificial intelligence made a generational leap in 2022 with the release of ChatGPT, created by OpenAI. Private companies control the majority of artificial intelligence development in the United States. Experts say the technology will require new rules to maximize its potential and avoid serious risks. The growing international adoption of artificial intelligence could reshape the global balance of power, with potentially dramatic geopolitical consequences
What Is Artificial Intelligence (AI)? | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)
Climate Action
Mari Pangestu, Novia Xu (East Asia Forum) write about the urgency of decarbonization in Asia: the region accounted for 53% of global CO2 emissions in 2021 and continues to grow. The Authors describe the obstacles to the implementation of a ‘green’ industrial policy
Unequal green gains thwart Asia’s green transition | East Asia Forum
European Union – GCC
Bader Al-Saif, Dalia Ghanem (European Union Institute for Security Studies) write about how to strengthen the strategic partnership between the European Union and the GCC countries
EU-GCC relations | European Union Institute for Security Studies (europa.eu)
Greece – Israel
George N. Tzogopoulos (BESA Center) writes about Greece’s support for Israel’s cause. Athens’ attitude can, however, be divided into two distinct phases. While in the first weeks of the conflict the Greek government firmly supported Israel’s right to self-defense, since the beginning of November it has shifted attention to the humanitarian dimension of hostilities
Greece and the Israel-Hamas War (besacenter.org)
India – China
Tanvi Madan, C. Raja Mohan. Garima Mohan (Brookings) discusses India’s importance of strategic partnerships as a necessary component of its strategy towards Beijing. Experts analyze the role for New Delhi of partners such as the United States, Europe, Australia and Japan, as well as others, in the Middle East and Southeast Asia
The role of the US, Europe, and Indo-Pacific partners in India’s China strategy | Brookings
Mongolia
Mendee Jargalsaikhan, Enkhbayar Namjildorj (East Asia Forum) write that Mongolia is successfully addressing the geopolitical rivalry of great powers, the dynamics of electoral democracy and the challenges facing small resource-based economies. But current political and economic trends, if not managed with caution, could trigger further challenges for Mongolia ahead of the 2024 parliamentary elections. Ulaanbaatar, between China and Russia, continues to maintain an independent foreign policy
Mongolia strengthens independent policy despite debt and corruption | East Asia Forum
Near East
1 – Ilan Zalayat, Yoel Guzansky (INSS) write that, in a context of increasing attacks at sea by the Houthis and Iran, the UN envoy for peace talks in Yemen announced over the weekend that representatives of Houthis and Saudi Arabia have reached an agreement on a roadmap to end the war between them, which has been ongoing since 2015
2 – Tomer Fadlon, Esteban Klor (INSS) write that the war between Israel and Hamas will have a significant negative impact on the Israeli economy. Estimates place the direct and indirect costs of the conflict at around 200 billion shekels. The State of Israel must not repeat the mistakes of the post-war economic management following the Yom Kippur War, which from an economic point of view led to a “lost decade”
The Israel-Hamas War: Averting Another Lost Economic Decade | INSS
Nuovo Umanesimo / New Humanism (Marco Emanuele)
The Science of Where Magazine (Direttore: Emilio Albertario)